{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5e125e3f-de86-41a6-99e6-4d4c498fb94b", "symbol": "1215", "name": "Charoen Pokphand Enterprise (Taiwan) Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.534, "architecture_energy": 68.112, "architecture_maturity": 38.13, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.03, "rotation_up": 22.69, "upward_expansion": 13.6, "deceleration": 46.54, "rotation_down": 63.87, "downward_expansion": 89.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 107.233333, 109.154545, 115.286741, 121.067462 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 107.0, "trend_reference": 128.573625, "distance_from_trend": -0.167792, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 103.648871, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.032332, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -41.813468, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.234506, "excess_performance": -0.675878, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.167792, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.05103, "read": "Falling" 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100.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.017472, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.015645, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.089591, "worst_return": -0.078788, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.061336, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.208861, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.091304, "worst_return": -0.056818, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.071531, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.134269, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.142029, "worst_return": 0.001033, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 110.5, "volume": 6912221, "typical_volume": 7550324.35, "trend": 131.485321, "fair_value": 102.898288, "relative_strength": -38.332581, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.956635, "energy": 84.420524, "activity_lines": [ 112.066667, 115.401339, 122.22776, 127.078539 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 109.5, "volume": 4182900, "typical_volume": 7531902.85, "trend": 130.80883, "fair_value": 103.109357, "relative_strength": -39.554741, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.446905, "energy": 76.495, "activity_lines": [ 110.966667, 113.581372, 120.413391, 125.660131 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 104.0, "volume": 6218327, "typical_volume": 7604521.45, "trend": 129.980701, "fair_value": 103.273342, "relative_strength": -41.221711, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.946632, "energy": 78.250414, "activity_lines": [ 108.4, 111.190909, 118.29411, 123.93053 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 108.0, "volume": 5509069, "typical_volume": 7706083.55, "trend": 129.396841, "fair_value": 103.457591, "relative_strength": -39.843449, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.543289, "energy": 66.752525, "activity_lines": [ 107.833333, 110.109091, 116.755588, 122.51242 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 107.0, "volume": 2568154, "typical_volume": 7577216.3, "trend": 128.573625, "fair_value": 103.648871, "relative_strength": -41.813468, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.533591, "energy": 68.111887, "activity_lines": [ 107.233333, 109.154545, 115.286741, 121.067462 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }