{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5e1824c7-efbd-4cec-ac5e-b020ab7def0a",
    "symbol": "FMGOETZE",
    "name": "Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 82.807,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 69.433,
    "architecture_energy": 67.901,
    "architecture_maturity": 19.863,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.557,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 20.98,
        "rotation_up": 69.02,
        "upward_expansion": 87.57,
        "deceleration": 45.81,
        "rotation_down": 12.01,
        "downward_expansion": 14.24
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        481.123334,
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        460.216665,
        449.03602
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 492.25,
    "trend_reference": 438.223332,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.123286,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 419.714744,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.17282,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 6.805394,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.149311,
    "excess_performance": 0.19302,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.123286,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.012473,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.17282,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018499,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068054,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037276,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.149311,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.300923,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 292327,
      "relative_activity": 1.215547,
      "balance": 1.300923,
      "dry_up": 1.33835,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.059187,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.324431,
      "from_high_reference": -0.147471,
      "from_low_reference": 0.375
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 438.223332,
      "fair_value_reference": 419.714744,
      "structural_low": 358.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 21,
        "median_return": 0.002399,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004537,
        "regime_survival": 0.619048,
        "best_return": 0.160055,
        "worst_return": -0.148269,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
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        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.138529,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.247803,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "direction": -21.561921,
        "energy": 18.639885,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 430.450012,
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        "typical_volume": 302479.45,
        "trend": 448.888334,
        "fair_value": 409.783975,
        "relative_strength": -4.435297,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 312012.05,
        "trend": 447.72,
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 193460,
        "typical_volume": 309334.8,
        "trend": 446.9,
        "fair_value": 411.713783,
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        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 37.451106,
        "activity_lines": [
          458.79,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 436.149994,
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        "typical_volume": 312175.7,
        "trend": 445.775,
        "fair_value": 412.433013,
        "relative_strength": -3.722388,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 18.097066,
        "energy": 29.244645,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 450.350006,
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        "typical_volume": 300813.0,
        "trend": 445.083333,
        "fair_value": 413.266988,
        "relative_strength": -1.370058,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 16.548712,
        "energy": 27.892673,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 308417.05,
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 306041.0,
        "trend": 441.663333,
        "fair_value": 414.333013,
        "relative_strength": -2.850742,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -5.306639,
        "energy": 7.573718,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 295049.5,
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        "relative_strength": -1.712709,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 460.299988,
        "volume": 26762,
        "typical_volume": 231643.2,
        "trend": 435.106664,
        "fair_value": 416.310257,
        "relative_strength": -0.440931,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 453.450012,
        "volume": 153757,
        "typical_volume": 230332.65,
        "trend": 434.754998,
        "fair_value": 416.832052,
        "relative_strength": -1.335552,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.453597,
        "energy": 44.431538,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 487.799988,
        "volume": 670088,
        "typical_volume": 252044.5,
        "trend": 436.414997,
        "fair_value": 417.592308,
        "relative_strength": 5.905884,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.021223,
        "energy": 60.461364,
        "activity_lines": [
          466.189994,
          456.39545,
          448.376425,
          440.459782
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 478.850006,
        "volume": 161350,
        "typical_volume": 248885.05,
        "trend": 437.399998,
        "fair_value": 418.301282,
        "relative_strength": 6.854241,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.05644,
        "energy": 61.243657,
        "activity_lines": [
          471.929999,
          461.712724,
          452.551426,
          443.197525
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 472.5,
        "volume": 163674,
        "typical_volume": 237679.45,
        "trend": 436.853332,
        "fair_value": 418.950641,
        "relative_strength": 3.130612,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.489782,
        "energy": 59.908903,
        "activity_lines": [
          473.9,
          465.099088,
          455.683331,
          445.462041
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 492.25,
        "volume": 292327,
        "typical_volume": 240490.0,
        "trend": 438.223332,
        "fair_value": 419.714744,
        "relative_strength": 6.805394,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.43262,
        "energy": 67.900614,
        "activity_lines": [
          481.123334,
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          449.03602
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}