{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5e21d8ad-68db-417b-aef8-905d1e6d9f48", "symbol": "DLTH", "name": "Duluth Holdings Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 42.64, "architecture_energy": 30.378, "architecture_maturity": 79.478, "architecture_confidence": 65.579, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.38, "rotation_up": 36.91, "upward_expansion": 62.93, "deceleration": 67.43, "rotation_down": 24.67, "downward_expansion": 15.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.159333, 4.195636, 3.957524, 3.677527 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 4.18, "trend_reference": 3.282333, "distance_from_trend": 0.273484, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3.593901, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.163082, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 17.90332, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.706122, "excess_performance": 0.518669, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.273484, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.181687, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.163082, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.303357, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.179033, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.148305, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.706122, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.177101, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 266126, "relative_activity": 0.463503, "balance": 1.177101, "dry_up": 0.461482, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.141954, "annualized_volatility": 0.83176, "from_high_reference": -0.178782, "from_low_reference": 1.069307 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.282333, "fair_value_reference": 3.593901, "structural_low": 2.04, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.059789, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.060888, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.340361, "worst_return": -0.31592, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.232756, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.27705, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.282209, "worst_return": -0.303781, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.34811, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.452632, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.214136, "worst_return": -0.408971, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.944497, "energy": 48.307194, "activity_lines": [ 4.234667, 4.119636, 3.79281, 3.483871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.2, "volume": 298446, "typical_volume": 1303311.7, "trend": 3.153667, "fair_value": 3.637683, "relative_strength": 27.132371, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.37076, "energy": 42.854328, "activity_lines": [ 4.22, 4.170909, 3.861429, 3.555871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.08, "volume": 184339, "typical_volume": 1303063.7, "trend": 3.220667, "fair_value": 3.615696, "relative_strength": 21.802986, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.832028, "energy": 31.943772, "activity_lines": [ 4.168, 4.178364, 3.909286, 3.615634 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.18, "volume": 266126, "typical_volume": 574161.8, "trend": 3.282333, "fair_value": 3.593901, "relative_strength": 17.90332, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.6398, "energy": 30.37798, "activity_lines": [ 4.159333, 4.195636, 3.957524, 3.677527 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }