{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5e282163-7751-4e02-b9a9-d149f1c3701f",
    "symbol": "TECH-B",
    "name": "Evolve FANGMA Index ETF Unhedged CAD",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 77.093,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 62.125,
    "architecture_energy": 35.5,
    "architecture_maturity": 20.355,
    "architecture_confidence": 64.063,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 28.49,
        "rotation_up": 59.7,
        "upward_expansion": 73.13,
        "deceleration": 47.22,
        "rotation_down": 17.49,
        "downward_expansion": 11.8
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        25.081874,
        24.811825,
        24.873554,
        24.554804
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 26.1,
    "trend_reference": 24.179299,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.079436,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 20.085848,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.299422,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -5.094114,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.125377,
    "excess_performance": 0.004956,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.079436,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002135,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.299422,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.040963,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.050941,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.007889,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.125377,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.345048,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 14800,
      "relative_activity": 2.056984,
      "balance": 1.345048,
      "dry_up": 1.553162,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.035941,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.23562,
      "from_high_reference": -0.021372,
      "from_low_reference": 0.195899
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 24.179299,
      "fair_value_reference": 20.085848,
      "structural_low": 21.824581,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.007903,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01243,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.083903,
        "worst_return": -0.140544,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.075228,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002447,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.157501,
        "worst_return": -0.094426,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.225215,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.068363,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.360722,
        "worst_return": 0.004091,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.316684,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.020832,
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        "best_return": 0.502738,
        "worst_return": 0.13063,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
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        "return": 0.06108,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.025791,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.004015,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-02",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.055749,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.05723,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "end": "2025-07-25",
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        "return": 0.06774,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 24.706127,
        "volume": 2600,
        "typical_volume": 8220.0,
        "trend": 24.127632,
        "fair_value": 18.841207,
        "relative_strength": -7.053551,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 28.449636,
        "energy": 36.508275,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 8585.0,
        "trend": 24.143039,
        "fair_value": 18.935266,
        "relative_strength": -5.297916,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 35.926535,
        "energy": 45.816357,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 25.505911,
        "volume": 8700,
        "typical_volume": 7955.0,
        "trend": 24.171443,
        "fair_value": 19.02879,
        "relative_strength": -4.305253,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 41.909904,
        "energy": 70.127583,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 25.615896,
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        "typical_volume": 7925.0,
        "trend": 24.196852,
        "fair_value": 19.119916,
        "relative_strength": -3.058584,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 40.925742,
        "energy": 72.741982,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 900,
        "typical_volume": 7765.0,
        "trend": 24.216933,
        "fair_value": 19.208706,
        "relative_strength": -4.267225,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 48.886427,
        "energy": 76.281661,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 26.067822,
        "volume": 6300,
        "typical_volume": 7705.0,
        "trend": 24.231022,
        "fair_value": 19.298557,
        "relative_strength": -3.783647,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 52.315427,
        "energy": 80.328881,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 25.277887,
        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 7190.0,
        "trend": 24.236437,
        "fair_value": 19.384268,
        "relative_strength": -5.539801,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.197885,
        "energy": 73.361815,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 24.077988,
        "volume": 7100,
        "typical_volume": 7255.0,
        "trend": 24.201855,
        "fair_value": 19.460703,
        "relative_strength": -11.13761,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.285635,
        "energy": 37.084394,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 800,
        "typical_volume": 6840.0,
        "trend": 24.202261,
        "fair_value": 19.540339,
        "relative_strength": -9.068563,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.058974,
        "energy": 25.809104,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 23.346151,
        "volume": 6200,
        "typical_volume": 6710.0,
        "trend": 24.12856,
        "fair_value": 19.610683,
        "relative_strength": -13.362556,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 1.231803,
        "energy": 21.811693,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.265339,
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          24.499186,
          24.246389
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 24.797985,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 6280.0,
        "trend": 24.115913,
        "fair_value": 19.689937,
        "relative_strength": -8.398103,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 23.236593,
        "energy": 28.327712,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.306815,
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          24.574694,
          24.289578
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 25.137957,
        "volume": 5500,
        "typical_volume": 6100.0,
        "trend": 24.13259,
        "fair_value": 19.769984,
        "relative_strength": -7.022714,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.080734,
        "energy": 25.843293,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.54627,
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          24.669316,
          24.355516
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 24.847982,
        "volume": 13600,
        "typical_volume": 6315.0,
        "trend": 24.144265,
        "fair_value": 19.850417,
        "relative_strength": -7.722352,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.171383,
        "energy": 19.038003,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.698396,
          24.744157,
          24.724485,
          24.40167
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 23.818064,
        "volume": 4300,
        "typical_volume": 6155.0,
        "trend": 24.118945,
        "fair_value": 19.921066,
        "relative_strength": -11.48314,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 4.03309,
        "energy": 7.118829,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.455883,
          24.538105,
          24.673882,
          24.380625
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 24.860001,
        "volume": 12000,
        "typical_volume": 6565.0,
        "trend": 24.141283,
        "fair_value": 19.999053,
        "relative_strength": -6.938769,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.731592,
        "energy": 19.235264,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.612674,
          24.554184,
          24.719589,
          24.428435
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 26.1,
        "volume": 14800,
        "typical_volume": 7195.0,
        "trend": 24.179299,
        "fair_value": 20.085848,
        "relative_strength": -5.094114,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.125157,
        "energy": 35.499884,
        "activity_lines": [
          25.081874,
          24.811825,
          24.873554,
          24.554804
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}