{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5e30853a-5440-430f-b537-312dc16cad5e", "symbol": "300378", "name": "Digiwin Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.046, "architecture_energy": 47.647, "architecture_maturity": 56.984, "architecture_confidence": 83.749, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.15, "rotation_up": 16.94, "upward_expansion": 5.97, "deceleration": 54.54, "rotation_down": 58.85, "downward_expansion": 76.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 32.451334, 33.148, 35.154262, 37.224081 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 36.66, "trend_reference": 41.225776, "distance_from_trend": -0.110751, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 31.694484, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.156668, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.96975, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.335267, "excess_performance": -0.342667, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.110751, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.077388, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.156668, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.241994, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.209698, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016447, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.335267, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.105989, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 108817466, "relative_activity": 2.266279, "balance": 1.105989, "dry_up": 1.47026, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.118923, "annualized_volatility": 0.643594, "from_high_reference": -0.489273, "from_low_reference": 0.400841 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 41.225776, "fair_value_reference": 31.694484, "structural_low": 26.17, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.031286, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.023937, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.406948, "worst_return": -0.202689, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.050037, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.079499, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.439069, "worst_return": -0.258675, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.331394, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.302894, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.103796, "worst_return": -0.207073, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.965175, "energy": 73.468495, "activity_lines": [ 32.818666, 34.459916, 36.635309, 39.086318 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 26.41, "volume": 43010539, "typical_volume": 43677608.4, "trend": 41.819776, "fair_value": 31.657758, "relative_strength": -42.56013, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.002438, "energy": 87.361986, "activity_lines": [ 30.185333, 32.760813, 35.513008, 38.059708 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 33.720001, "volume": 80277161, "typical_volume": 44607167.85, "trend": 41.512442, "fair_value": 31.656043, "relative_strength": -24.722782, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.594243, "energy": 68.162432, "activity_lines": [ 30.772, 32.626438, 35.171659, 37.537142 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 36.66, "volume": 108817466, "typical_volume": 48015917.8, "trend": 41.225776, "fair_value": 31.694484, "relative_strength": -20.96975, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.045666, "energy": 47.647323, "activity_lines": [ 32.451334, 33.148, 35.154262, 37.224081 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }