{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5e39f7a1-d490-4adb-b6a8-ad6860de0484", "symbol": "CTSH", "name": "Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 68.982, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 0.158, "architecture_energy": 19.309, "architecture_maturity": 93.024, "architecture_confidence": 35.02, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.93, "rotation_up": 42.86, "upward_expansion": 24.08, "deceleration": 41.33, "rotation_down": 14.69, "downward_expansion": 55.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 44.454667, 41.74491, 42.465813, 44.84706 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 49.424999, "trend_reference": 49.439566, "distance_from_trend": -0.000295, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 62.241778, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.205919, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -28.020226, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.230344, "excess_performance": -0.404591, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.000295, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.151668, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.205919, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.109851, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.280202, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.121412, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.230344, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1157, "relative_activity": 3.071817, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 2.386831, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.077509, "annualized_volatility": 0.556553, "from_high_reference": -0.329292, "from_low_reference": 0.430121 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 49.439566, "fair_value_reference": 62.241778, "structural_low": 34.560001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.023162, "positive_rate": 0.678571, "directional_follow_through": 0.321429, "median_excess_return": 0.009824, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.136533, "worst_return": -0.258683, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.043632, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.019991, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.232137, "worst_return": -0.314334, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.041672, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.039086, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.33947, "worst_return": -0.19497, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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46.928217 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 38.200001, "volume": 739, "typical_volume": 233.8, "trend": 51.979835, "fair_value": 62.509984, "relative_strength": -43.813446, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.357723, "energy": 81.900435, "activity_lines": [ 37.205001, 39.316637, 42.333197, 45.966263 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 39.540001, "volume": 288, "typical_volume": 248.2, "trend": 50.934472, "fair_value": 62.402765, "relative_strength": -41.850687, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.590056, "energy": 63.143457, "activity_lines": [ 38.039668, 39.098274, 41.770398, 45.163693 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 46.810001, "volume": 1412, "typical_volume": 318.8, "trend": 50.208336, "fair_value": 62.31386, "relative_strength": -30.409255, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.26917, "energy": 27.400887, "activity_lines": [ 41.212001, 40.197274, 41.979115, 44.897598 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 49.424999, "volume": 1157, "typical_volume": 376.65, "trend": 49.439566, "fair_value": 62.241778, "relative_strength": -28.020226, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 0.157997, "energy": 19.309265, "activity_lines": [ 44.454667, 41.74491, 42.465813, 44.84706 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }