{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5e3a1a6e-8b44-4780-abc2-fdbaf1390829",
    "symbol": "MCON",
    "name": "Mincon Group plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 57.352,
    "architecture_energy": 42.326,
    "architecture_maturity": 12.245,
    "architecture_confidence": 93.95,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 32.29,
        "rotation_up": 59.91,
        "upward_expansion": 82.34,
        "deceleration": 48.01,
        "rotation_down": 15.05,
        "downward_expansion": 6.67
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.606,
        0.595,
        0.589524,
        0.580859
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.615,
    "trend_reference": 0.557539,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.103063,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.442683,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.389256,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 15.769455,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.357532,
    "excess_performance": 0.306297,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.103063,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.097778,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.389256,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.104832,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.157695,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.149852,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.357532,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.571055,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 370985,
      "relative_activity": 5.661477,
      "balance": 2.571055,
      "dry_up": 2.062254,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.080591,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.242962,
      "from_high_reference": -0.039062,
      "from_low_reference": 0.875212
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.557539,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.442683,
      "structural_low": 0.443179,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": -0.009228,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.029638,
        "regime_survival": 0.583333,
        "best_return": 0.178218,
        "worst_return": -0.107438,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "median_return": 0.090605,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": -0.159483,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.104293,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.36712,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 50993.25,
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        "relative_strength": 22.652044,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 11382,
        "typical_volume": 49671.35,
        "trend": 0.5407,
        "fair_value": 0.445976,
        "relative_strength": 20.234279,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.627648,
        "energy": 31.759131,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.591667,
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          0.583479,
          0.569478
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.6,
        "volume": 91629,
        "typical_volume": 49252.3,
        "trend": 0.546256,
        "fair_value": 0.444671,
        "relative_strength": 16.591338,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.901693,
        "energy": 40.389764,
        "activity_lines": [
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          0.585256,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.6,
        "volume": 66545,
        "typical_volume": 48907.9,
        "trend": 0.551647,
        "fair_value": 0.44348,
        "relative_strength": 14.206333,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.966009,
        "energy": 41.083139,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.600667,
          0.589545,
          0.586709,
          0.576771
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.615,
        "volume": 370985,
        "typical_volume": 65527.95,
        "trend": 0.557539,
        "fair_value": 0.442683,
        "relative_strength": 15.769455,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.351842,
        "energy": 42.326353,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.606,
          0.595,
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          0.580859
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}