{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5e4029c5-77bd-479f-a591-87cf5b25fef9", "symbol": "YCM", "name": "New Commerce Split Fund", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 84.079, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 94.14, "architecture_energy": 89.812, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.37, "rotation_up": 68.24, "upward_expansion": 96.88, "deceleration": 41.46, "rotation_down": 28.85, "downward_expansion": 18.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.97, 10.81125, 10.557802, 10.028775 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 11.4, "trend_reference": 9.299711, "distance_from_trend": 0.225845, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.264794, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.673048, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 30.652674, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.519288, "excess_performance": 0.398867, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.225845, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.165935, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.673048, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.233965, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.306527, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.156285, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.519288, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 800, "relative_activity": 0.627451, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 0.156863, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.025812, "annualized_volatility": 0.396989, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 1.567701 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.299711, "fair_value_reference": 4.264794, "structural_low": 6.789899, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, 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9.965185, 9.403445 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 10.725, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1961.0, "trend": 8.815268, "fair_value": 4.01306, "relative_strength": 32.987994, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.218567, "energy": 72.712818, "activity_lines": [ 10.657141, 10.55356, 10.097265, 9.53527 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.725, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1565.0, "trend": 8.948542, "fair_value": 4.074664, "relative_strength": 31.562263, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.420364, "energy": 74.506883, "activity_lines": [ 10.715069, 10.59716, 10.215265, 9.658479 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.725, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1565.0, "trend": 9.061458, "fair_value": 4.136268, "relative_strength": 29.64216, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.571284, "energy": 79.231102, "activity_lines": [ 10.720035, 10.6296, 10.318227, 9.773089 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.8, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1280.0, "trend": 9.175412, "fair_value": 4.198404, "relative_strength": 29.507087, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.730873, "energy": 85.885409, "activity_lines": [ 10.75, 10.664518, 10.416897, 9.885253 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.4, "volume": 800, "typical_volume": 1275.0, "trend": 9.299711, "fair_value": 4.264794, "relative_strength": 30.652674, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 94.139686, "energy": 89.811744, "activity_lines": [ 10.97, 10.81125, 10.557802, 10.028775 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }