{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5e505e4c-37c6-42d8-b9a2-0de5d15cd7bd", "symbol": "GOOD", "name": "Gladstone Commercial Corporation", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.128, "architecture_energy": 50.768, "architecture_maturity": 11.581, "architecture_confidence": 73.884, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.79, "rotation_up": 64.13, "upward_expansion": 84.17, "deceleration": 46.81, "rotation_down": 14.72, "downward_expansion": 8.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.801583, 12.661763, 12.547244, 12.372848 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 12.95, "trend_reference": 12.105437, "distance_from_trend": 0.069767, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 12.002156, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.078973, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.721463, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.161839, "excess_performance": -0.025615, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.069767, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.064309, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.078973, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005209, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.027215, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.080334, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.161839, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.947989, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2878091, "relative_activity": 1.257593, "balance": 0.947989, "dry_up": 0.977632, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.048571, "annualized_volatility": 0.252172, "from_high_reference": -0.015843, "from_low_reference": 0.307037 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.105437, "fair_value_reference": 12.002156, "structural_low": 10.79413, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.012029, "positive_rate": 0.541667, "directional_follow_through": 0.541667, "median_excess_return": -0.011039, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.108518, "worst_return": -0.118016, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.026466, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.027535, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.173834, "worst_return": -0.045585, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.040707, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.020128, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.214097, "worst_return": -0.199925, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2026-07-10", "close": 12.394364, "volume": 2286090, "typical_volume": 2313656.8, "trend": 11.773879, "fair_value": 11.938637, "relative_strength": -8.493602, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.082093, "energy": 16.926808, "activity_lines": [ 12.362977, 12.389768, 12.313075, 12.129041 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 12.999694, "volume": 2093973, "typical_volume": 2255880.85, "trend": 11.86481, "fair_value": 11.956195, "relative_strength": 0.511938, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.484633, "energy": 39.397819, "activity_lines": [ 12.587616, 12.496843, 12.391549, 12.208126 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.96, "volume": 2041715, "typical_volume": 2252171.95, "trend": 11.960152, "fair_value": 11.973747, "relative_strength": 2.170158, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.224234, "energy": 52.787292, "activity_lines": [ 12.761531, 12.590088, 12.462387, 12.278784 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.5, "volume": 1935741, "typical_volume": 2268813.85, "trend": 12.031849, "fair_value": 11.988002, "relative_strength": -1.637357, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.847194, "energy": 40.675175, "activity_lines": [ 12.710079, 12.584324, 12.485147, 12.313613 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.95, "volume": 2878091, "typical_volume": 2288570.45, "trend": 12.105437, "fair_value": 12.002156, "relative_strength": -2.721463, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.128203, "energy": 50.767696, "activity_lines": [ 12.801583, 12.661763, 12.547244, 12.372848 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }