{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5e53113f-8992-4cc3-8736-0f4675a693c9",
    "symbol": "MMT",
    "name": "M\u00e9tropole T\u00e9l\u00e9vision S.A.",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 90.304,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 39.697,
    "architecture_energy": 24.873,
    "architecture_maturity": 47.564,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.55,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 36.76,
        "rotation_up": 30.82,
        "upward_expansion": 62.88,
        "deceleration": 87.56,
        "rotation_down": 26.54,
        "downward_expansion": 15.22
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        12.029333,
        12.094182,
        11.928084,
        11.651217
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 12.0,
    "trend_reference": 11.311021,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.060912,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 10.540161,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.138503,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.708329,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.099236,
    "excess_performance": 0.045925,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060912,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034876,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.138503,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032412,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.007083,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.015884,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.099236,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.25007,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 402456,
      "relative_activity": 0.690871,
      "balance": 1.25007,
      "dry_up": 0.840295,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.042692,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.218287,
      "from_high_reference": -0.052133,
      "from_low_reference": 0.20497
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 11.311021,
      "fair_value_reference": 10.540161,
      "structural_low": 9.958752,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.005643,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001989,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
        "best_return": 0.070213,
        "worst_return": -0.062492,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.005683,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000126,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.069847,
        "worst_return": 0.004556,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.023674,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.032821,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.0,
        "worst_return": -0.049404,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.043999,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.074373,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.218271,
        "worst_return": -0.150381,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.07341,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.088768,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0299,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.022187,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.073499,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-10-17",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.022727,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.014901,
        "active": false
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      {
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        "return": -0.011076,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": true
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        "typical_volume": 829288.9,
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        "fair_value": 10.332607,
        "relative_strength": -3.448312,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 803140.0,
        "trend": 10.858233,
        "fair_value": 10.350952,
        "relative_strength": 3.185695,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "fair_value": 10.36082,
        "relative_strength": 0.880044,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 874671.25,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.743326,
        "energy": 63.402906,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 878689.6,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 846706.0,
        "trend": 10.949815,
        "fair_value": 10.401087,
        "relative_strength": 0.015022,
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        "energy": 41.958471,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 12.44,
        "volume": 141773,
        "typical_volume": 824495.2,
        "trend": 11.000592,
        "fair_value": 10.41685,
        "relative_strength": 6.573235,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 797336.95,
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        "fair_value": 10.4343,
        "relative_strength": 6.653407,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 83.449174,
        "energy": 82.629215,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 165432,
        "typical_volume": 772254.25,
        "trend": 11.067061,
        "fair_value": 10.447906,
        "relative_strength": 1.64059,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.938343,
        "energy": 69.999081,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 78328,
        "typical_volume": 736883.1,
        "trend": 11.105982,
        "fair_value": 10.465503,
        "relative_strength": 5.278525,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 79.176326,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 12.1,
        "volume": 448653,
        "typical_volume": 693785.2,
        "trend": 11.157476,
        "fair_value": 10.48039,
        "relative_strength": 4.060409,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.870694,
        "energy": 57.175796,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 11.9,
        "volume": 457859,
        "typical_volume": 660920.55,
        "trend": 11.195073,
        "fair_value": 10.494817,
        "relative_strength": 2.470843,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.299563,
        "energy": 40.477034,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.117333,
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          11.776206,
          11.495229
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 11.94,
        "volume": 487646,
        "typical_volume": 624541.95,
        "trend": 11.232196,
        "fair_value": 10.509065,
        "relative_strength": 2.508119,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.713143,
        "energy": 32.583336,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.033333,
          12.069455,
          11.824685,
          11.543289
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 12.18,
        "volume": 610040,
        "typical_volume": 605952.5,
        "trend": 11.27491,
        "fair_value": 10.52519,
        "relative_strength": 3.021891,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.724496,
        "energy": 28.447856,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.070667,
          12.104364,
          11.888824,
          11.604437
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 12.0,
        "volume": 402456,
        "typical_volume": 582533.8,
        "trend": 11.311021,
        "fair_value": 10.540161,
        "relative_strength": -0.708329,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.697161,
        "energy": 24.873081,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.029333,
          12.094182,
          11.928084,
          11.651217
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}