{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5e675a58-14a7-42af-868b-4bbaeb8a40f6", "symbol": "002031", "name": "Greatoo Intelligent Equipment Inc.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.81, "architecture_energy": 62.906, "architecture_maturity": 29.964, "architecture_confidence": 86.439, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.8, "rotation_up": 12.33, "upward_expansion": 12.64, "deceleration": 40.57, "rotation_down": 67.76, "downward_expansion": 85.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.958667, 5.216909, 5.729143, 6.041376 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 5.24, "trend_reference": 6.546333, "distance_from_trend": -0.199552, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.657115, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.073733, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.668618, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.322122, "excess_performance": -0.329521, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.199552, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.098508, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.073733, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.369229, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.296686, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.026565, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.322122, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.714632, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 551539412, "relative_activity": 1.089005, "balance": 0.714632, "dry_up": 0.729061, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.167499, "annualized_volatility": 0.697181, "from_high_reference": -0.473896, "from_low_reference": 0.201835 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.546333, "fair_value_reference": 5.657115, "structural_low": 4.36, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.01, "positive_rate": 0.611111, "directional_follow_through": 0.388889, "median_excess_return": -0.026414, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 1.228723, "worst_return": -0.264706, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.023873, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.057458, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.470588, "worst_return": -0.227848, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.218209, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.162922, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.748663, "worst_return": -0.050431, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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4.9, "volume": 305500936, "typical_volume": 493833516.3, "trend": 6.633667, "fair_value": 5.649615, "relative_strength": -31.579807, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.471942, "energy": 66.264864, "activity_lines": [ 4.938667, 5.275091, 5.808048, 6.13129 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.24, "volume": 551539412, "typical_volume": 506462010.35, "trend": 6.546333, "fair_value": 5.657115, "relative_strength": -29.668618, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.810252, "energy": 62.905753, "activity_lines": [ 4.958667, 5.216909, 5.729143, 6.041376 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }