{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5e73fb6d-598e-4335-b4b6-04ca98f9d819", "symbol": "SUNTECK", "name": "Sunteck Realty Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.309, "architecture_energy": 35.562, "architecture_maturity": 52.669, "architecture_confidence": 91.796, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.54, "rotation_up": 18.67, "upward_expansion": 5.6, "deceleration": 45.84, "rotation_down": 53.83, "downward_expansion": 74.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 305.266661, 310.723635, 311.517381, 318.738711 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 299.149994, "trend_reference": 335.506669, "distance_from_trend": -0.108363, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 435.368958, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.312882, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.623122, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.266879, "excess_performance": -0.22317, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.108363, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.097656, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.312882, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.103674, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.186231, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.078341, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.266879, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.042863, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 848451, "relative_activity": 0.310815, "balance": 0.042863, "dry_up": 0.812281, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.080549, "annualized_volatility": 0.417284, "from_high_reference": -0.366878, "from_low_reference": 0.104894 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 335.506669, "fair_value_reference": 435.368958, "structural_low": 270.75, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.009347, "positive_rate": 0.434783, "directional_follow_through": 0.565217, "median_excess_return": -0.037762, "regime_survival": 0.73913, "best_return": 0.206773, "worst_return": -0.181739, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.055481, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.036262, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.2272, "worst_return": -0.292115, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.109128, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.154809, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.540847, "worst_return": -0.252055, 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 306.25, "volume": 5724372, "typical_volume": 2753116.85, "trend": 343.86667, "fair_value": 436.188556, "relative_strength": -14.634567, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.752843, "energy": 18.038822, "activity_lines": [ 316.663334, 313.156366, 314.027146, 324.027637 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 302.299988, "volume": 940187, "typical_volume": 2737210.5, "trend": 339.561669, "fair_value": 435.802824, "relative_strength": -17.512417, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.211922, "energy": 27.23682, "activity_lines": [ 310.933329, 312.354545, 312.888811, 321.345916 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 299.149994, "volume": 848451, "typical_volume": 2729761.5, "trend": 335.506669, "fair_value": 435.368958, "relative_strength": -18.623122, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.309025, "energy": 35.561647, "activity_lines": [ 305.266661, 310.723635, 311.517381, 318.738711 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }