{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5e740a79-53e6-4c74-8578-373ba3e4d9b8",
    "symbol": "EX03",
    "name": "iShares VII Public Limited Company - iShares Core EURO STOXX 50 UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 85.552,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 86.012,
    "architecture_energy": 73.2,
    "architecture_maturity": 32.315,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.852,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.57,
        "rotation_up": 64.45,
        "upward_expansion": 86.94,
        "deceleration": 53.32,
        "rotation_down": 22.61,
        "downward_expansion": 13.61
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        248.383335,
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        241.002145,
        236.526131
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 254.600006,
    "trend_reference": 232.205001,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.096445,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 194.587308,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.30841,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -7.332278,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.11179,
    "excess_performance": -0.062456,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.096445,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038987,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.30841,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.090812,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.073323,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026615,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.11179,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.0,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 0.0,
      "dry_up": 0.0,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.022252,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.183853,
      "from_high_reference": -0.002937,
      "from_low_reference": 0.265093
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 232.205001,
      "fair_value_reference": 194.587308,
      "structural_low": 206.25,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 39,
        "median_return": 0.003441,
        "positive_rate": 0.564103,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.564103,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005827,
        "regime_survival": 0.846154,
        "best_return": 0.086232,
        "worst_return": -0.110834,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.01363,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.032372,
        "regime_survival": 0.583333,
        "best_return": 0.13248,
        "worst_return": -0.04643,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.078704,
        "positive_rate": 0.857143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
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        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
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        "worst_return": -0.008003,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.076524,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-08-02",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.050435,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2024-12-06",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 49.15,
        "trend": 221.838334,
        "fair_value": 187.459167,
        "relative_strength": -9.993795,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.7068,
        "energy": 32.765429,
        "activity_lines": [
          227.873336,
          224.330911,
          224.561668,
          223.763872
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 225.550003,
        "volume": 142,
        "typical_volume": 56.25,
        "trend": 222.241667,
        "fair_value": 187.898974,
        "relative_strength": -10.390692,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.266974,
        "energy": 33.043524,
        "activity_lines": [
          226.996669,
          225.050002,
          224.622858,
          224.003334
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 234.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 56.25,
        "trend": 222.843334,
        "fair_value": 188.405128,
        "relative_strength": -8.658329,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.840246,
        "energy": 38.666139,
        "activity_lines": [
          229.076668,
          227.176365,
          225.459287,
          224.761936
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 235.100006,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 47.6,
        "trend": 223.491668,
        "fair_value": 188.919616,
        "relative_strength": -10.397891,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.184462,
        "energy": 46.859735,
        "activity_lines": [
          231.413336,
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          226.349525,
          225.552689
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 235.800003,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 47.6,
        "trend": 224.283334,
        "fair_value": 189.445,
        "relative_strength": -8.867332,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.735542,
        "energy": 60.304121,
        "activity_lines": [
          233.383336,
          230.935457,
          227.27643,
          226.346776
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 240.100006,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 25.15,
        "trend": 225.056668,
        "fair_value": 189.974616,
        "relative_strength": -9.477657,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.202936,
        "energy": 74.579317,
        "activity_lines": [
          236.170004,
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          228.584526,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 245.050003,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 25.15,
        "trend": 226.221668,
        "fair_value": 190.558398,
        "relative_strength": -11.08514,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.613643,
        "energy": 83.197397,
        "activity_lines": [
          239.816671,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 240.899994,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 20.75,
        "trend": 227.045001,
        "fair_value": 191.092244,
        "relative_strength": -10.611925,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.573688,
        "energy": 79.518916,
        "activity_lines": [
          240.780001,
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          231.53524,
          229.604087
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 249.550003,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 18.25,
        "trend": 228.083335,
        "fair_value": 191.719103,
        "relative_strength": -9.332207,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.695437,
        "energy": 89.793604,
        "activity_lines": [
          244.166668,
          239.830911,
          233.536907,
          231.056023
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 244.100006,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 18.25,
        "trend": 228.938335,
        "fair_value": 192.272693,
        "relative_strength": -9.875872,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.712495,
        "energy": 82.557627,
        "activity_lines": [
          244.773336,
          241.288184,
          234.920955,
          232.089357
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 242.75,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 13.9,
        "trend": 229.701668,
        "fair_value": 192.820064,
        "relative_strength": -8.380789,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.396876,
        "energy": 72.612455,
        "activity_lines": [
          244.376668,
          242.180911,
          236.129288,
          232.980432
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 244.649994,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 12.6,
        "trend": 230.545001,
        "fair_value": 193.36,
        "relative_strength": -8.688589,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.059486,
        "energy": 64.184291,
        "activity_lines": [
          244.436666,
          243.155455,
          237.482382,
          233.94484
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 247.300003,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 8.6,
        "trend": 231.345001,
        "fair_value": 193.948846,
        "relative_strength": -7.481485,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.258944,
        "energy": 57.020065,
        "activity_lines": [
          245.406667,
          244.264546,
          238.963097,
          235.025808
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 254.600006,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 8.1,
        "trend": 232.205001,
        "fair_value": 194.587308,
        "relative_strength": -7.332278,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.011521,
        "energy": 73.199509,
        "activity_lines": [
          248.383335,
          246.459093,
          241.002145,
          236.526131
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}