{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5e78158c-bab1-4c4d-a45a-d3de1e504562", "symbol": "002080", "name": "Sinoma Science & Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -18.306, "architecture_energy": 33.731, "architecture_maturity": 62.001, "architecture_confidence": 46.566, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.79, "rotation_up": 16.71, "upward_expansion": 18.89, "deceleration": 70.05, "rotation_down": 64.13, "downward_expansion": 41.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 51.974, 61.677454, 63.564781, 59.930256 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 56.560001, "trend_reference": 54.514681, "distance_from_trend": 0.037519, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 25.165505, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.247521, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 22.650365, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.326555, "excess_performance": 0.319155, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.037519, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.245995, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.247521, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.680592, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.226504, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.313712, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.326555, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.140551, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 304677213, "relative_activity": 1.491285, "balance": 1.140551, "dry_up": 1.364001, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.245178, "annualized_volatility": 0.997644, "from_high_reference": -0.446684, "from_low_reference": 1.170266 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 54.514681, "fair_value_reference": 25.165505, "structural_low": 37.008872, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.009608, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.019839, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.388973, "worst_return": -0.13106, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.217925, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.153223, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.154467, "worst_return": -0.221868, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.348271, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.285145, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.927701, "worst_return": -0.461518, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-12-27", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.097332, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.185749, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.120506, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.097493, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Established", "return": 1.114147, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": 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53.266666, 63.688545, 63.871528, 59.754373 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 56.560001, "volume": 304677213, "typical_volume": 204305121.4, "trend": 54.514681, "fair_value": 25.165505, "relative_strength": 22.650365, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.306167, "energy": 33.731174, "activity_lines": [ 51.974, 61.677454, 63.564781, 59.930256 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }