{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5e7fc8bf-01aa-4c7f-a038-8c4d5ec5ac40", "symbol": "CWT", "name": "California Water Service Group", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 63.378, "architecture_energy": 64.915, "architecture_maturity": 19.907, "architecture_confidence": 77.25, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.05, "rotation_up": 67.17, "upward_expansion": 86.52, "deceleration": 49.55, "rotation_down": 14.02, "downward_expansion": 13.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 50.581333, 49.881818, 47.891198, 46.982773 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 50.53, "trend_reference": 45.98487, "distance_from_trend": 0.09884, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 46.1507, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.094891, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.09071, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.153869, "excess_performance": 0.028245, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.09884, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038145, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.094891, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.163052, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.010907, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.135709, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.153869, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.486348, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2637251, "relative_activity": 1.026999, "balance": 1.486348, "dry_up": 0.97589, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.046671, "annualized_volatility": 0.242204, "from_high_reference": -0.06113, "from_low_reference": 0.242736 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 45.98487, "fair_value_reference": 46.1507, "structural_low": 41.565271, 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"volume": 1528035, "typical_volume": 2572831.0, "trend": 45.471532, "fair_value": 46.129242, "relative_strength": 3.494863, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.031567, "energy": 80.933314, "activity_lines": [ 50.652667, 49.050545, 47.103623, 46.37397 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 50.11, "volume": 3233585, "typical_volume": 2608371.25, "trend": 45.732033, "fair_value": 46.14278, "relative_strength": 1.330372, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.716966, "energy": 76.527334, "activity_lines": [ 50.581333, 49.484, 47.489935, 46.673226 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 50.53, "volume": 2637251, "typical_volume": 2567920.05, "trend": 45.98487, "fair_value": 46.1507, "relative_strength": -1.09071, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.378406, "energy": 64.915246, "activity_lines": [ 50.581333, 49.881818, 47.891198, 46.982773 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }