{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5e800817-584d-4f62-aa74-507faad505f9", "symbol": "TACK", "name": "CAPITOL SERIES TRUST FAIRLEAD TACTICAL SECTOR ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 51.731, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 74.329, "architecture_energy": 56.577, "architecture_maturity": 21.069, "architecture_confidence": 62.647, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.43, "rotation_up": 68.45, "upward_expansion": 83.68, "deceleration": 52.69, "rotation_down": 16.29, "downward_expansion": 8.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 32.030267, 31.871369, 31.533013, 31.315728 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 32.2882, "trend_reference": 31.095156, "distance_from_trend": 0.038368, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 27.328357, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.181491, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.471254, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.046944, "excess_performance": -0.078681, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.038368, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.181491, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027754, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.054713, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020888, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.046944, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.693782, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 51667, "relative_activity": 0.473969, "balance": 0.693782, "dry_up": 1.283651, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.016606, "annualized_volatility": 0.082135, "from_high_reference": -0.0037, "from_low_reference": 0.143984 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.095156, "fair_value_reference": 27.328357, "structural_low": 29.78, 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27.209612, "relative_strength": -1.793227, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.518833, "energy": 71.269519, "activity_lines": [ 31.884593, 31.692686, 31.345387, 31.17927 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 31.83, "volume": 408178, "typical_volume": 115171.55, "trend": 31.032757, "fair_value": 27.266928, "relative_strength": -3.675626, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.210283, "energy": 51.278109, "activity_lines": [ 31.883507, 31.746208, 31.420439, 31.234731 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 32.2882, "volume": 51667, "typical_volume": 109009.15, "trend": 31.095156, "fair_value": 27.328357, "relative_strength": -5.471254, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.328713, "energy": 56.577133, "activity_lines": [ 32.030267, 31.871369, 31.533013, 31.315728 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }