{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5e9a3401-17a5-4695-b84b-89ffe760ea54", "symbol": "300719", "name": "Beijing Andawell Science & Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.72, "architecture_energy": 62.488, "architecture_maturity": 58.963, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.22, "rotation_up": 24.02, "upward_expansion": 11.53, "deceleration": 55.67, "rotation_down": 58.67, "downward_expansion": 84.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.203333, 11.525818, 12.528333, 13.622925 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 11.59, "trend_reference": 15.107, "distance_from_trend": -0.232806, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15.928602, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.272378, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -30.186491, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.318235, "excess_performance": -0.325635, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.232806, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.102217, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.272378, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.268138, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.301865, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041263, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.318235, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.372158, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17384557, "relative_activity": 0.862829, "balance": 0.372158, "dry_up": 0.919145, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.098759, "annualized_volatility": 0.446061, "from_high_reference": -0.445189, "from_low_reference": 0.138507 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.107, "fair_value_reference": 15.928602, "structural_low": 10.18, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.007573, "positive_rate": 0.5625, "directional_follow_through": 0.4375, "median_excess_return": 0.020439, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.391176, "worst_return": -0.18344, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.189344, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.094832, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 1.084168, "worst_return": -0.238245, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.017245, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.134191, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.464432, "worst_return": -0.178657, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.263649, "energy": 77.712726, "activity_lines": [ 12.054, 12.566727, 13.750571, 14.800194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.84, "volume": 18390825, "typical_volume": 32449124.05, "trend": 15.754667, "fair_value": 15.960239, "relative_strength": -34.68253, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.35651, "energy": 81.48404, "activity_lines": [ 11.517333, 12.144364, 13.364143, 14.469656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.62, "volume": 20906140, "typical_volume": 26178359.9, "trend": 15.535333, "fair_value": 15.943894, "relative_strength": -35.34879, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.830384, "energy": 82.246376, "activity_lines": [ 11.118667, 11.773818, 12.998333, 14.138387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.28, "volume": 17395400, "typical_volume": 21651764.25, "trend": 15.324333, "fair_value": 15.932158, "relative_strength": -29.392573, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.123541, "energy": 70.420099, "activity_lines": [ 11.089333, 11.599636, 12.733286, 13.863849 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.59, "volume": 17384557, "typical_volume": 20148317.8, "trend": 15.107, "fair_value": 15.928602, "relative_strength": -30.186491, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.720096, "energy": 62.488353, "activity_lines": [ 11.203333, 11.525818, 12.528333, 13.622925 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }