{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5eb201ba-a65a-497d-8f28-f85f20996ba1",
    "symbol": "DRUG",
    "name": "Betashares Global Healthcare Currency Hedged ETF",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 65.794,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 31.227,
    "architecture_energy": 37.116,
    "architecture_maturity": 14.311,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.701,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 32.97,
        "rotation_up": 62.93,
        "upward_expansion": 45.99,
        "deceleration": 28.24,
        "rotation_down": 17.06,
        "downward_expansion": 18.66
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        8.692,
        8.618212,
        8.44846,
        8.450063
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 8.76,
    "trend_reference": 8.514042,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.028888,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 8.162075,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.073257,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.02805,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.002278,
    "excess_performance": -0.065984,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.028888,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.0054,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073257,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0968,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010281,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026114,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002278,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.535941,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 201344,
      "relative_activity": 0.265561,
      "balance": 0.535941,
      "dry_up": 2.496427,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.026448,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.155428,
      "from_high_reference": -0.037363,
      "from_low_reference": 0.185231
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 8.514042,
      "fair_value_reference": 8.162075,
      "structural_low": 7.81784,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.006345,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000599,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.042821,
        "worst_return": -0.072551,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.005532,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002454,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.09068,
        "worst_return": -0.10551,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.003217,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00366,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.079792,
        "worst_return": -0.11971,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.025113,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01783,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.037764,
        "worst_return": -0.052465,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.046042,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.02746,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.044263,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.037515,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.039735,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-29",
        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.010256,
        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "return": 0.042821,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.061083,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.012005,
        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "return": -0.004545,
        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "direction": 22.064675,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 764107.6,
        "trend": 8.520376,
        "fair_value": 8.155122,
        "relative_strength": 1.537688,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 27.427868,
        "energy": 54.183731,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 8.76,
        "volume": 201344,
        "typical_volume": 758183.45,
        "trend": 8.514042,
        "fair_value": 8.162075,
        "relative_strength": -1.02805,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 31.227169,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}