{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5ebbd6ed-b188-456a-b0e1-acf869d16fb7", "symbol": "DRDN", "name": "DRDGOLD Limited", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -93.296, "architecture_energy": 77.589, "architecture_maturity": 60.139, "architecture_confidence": 88.401, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.14, "rotation_up": 27.6, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 54.02, "rotation_down": 57.4, "downward_expansion": 78.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 432.369995, 441.292725, 455.729521, 477.36406 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 393.109985, "trend_reference": 511.312199, "distance_from_trend": -0.231174, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 276.389768, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.422303, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.214117, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.302208, "excess_performance": -0.247541, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.231174, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.045565, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.422303, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.497313, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.212141, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.274427, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.302208, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1400, "relative_activity": 16.617211, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 4.154303, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.017981, "annualized_volatility": 0.364135, "from_high_reference": -0.406127, "from_low_reference": 0.513787 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 511.312199, "fair_value_reference": 276.389768, "structural_low": 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452.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 20.85, "trend": 520.622758, "fair_value": 273.12716, "relative_strength": -7.414727, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.543913, "energy": 67.334974, "activity_lines": [ 452.0, 452.763636, 466.803808, 489.807815 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 452.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 14.25, "trend": 517.365434, "fair_value": 274.947214, "relative_strength": -9.080765, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.332413, "energy": 87.164427, "activity_lines": [ 452.0, 452.081818, 463.846189, 485.380541 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 393.109985, "volume": 1400, "typical_volume": 84.25, "trend": 511.312199, "fair_value": 276.389768, "relative_strength": -21.214117, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -93.296222, "energy": 77.589079, "activity_lines": [ 432.369995, 441.292725, 455.729521, 477.36406 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }