{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5ebf4e15-cbe9-41c6-a13c-6a9109396d6a", "symbol": "3706", "name": "MiTAC Holdings Corporation", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 79.15, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 58.924, "architecture_energy": 38.773, "architecture_maturity": 9.937, "architecture_confidence": 77.275, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.0, "rotation_up": 56.04, "upward_expansion": 81.14, "deceleration": 50.22, "rotation_down": 18.02, "downward_expansion": 5.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 90.893333, 89.776363, 88.273334, 86.483011 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 92.699997, "trend_reference": 84.333334, "distance_from_trend": 0.099209, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 60.056562, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.543545, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -23.979702, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.22619, "excess_performance": -0.215182, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.099209, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001266, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.543545, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.100863, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.239797, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.075896, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.22619, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.194786, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 67400332, "relative_activity": 0.77966, "balance": 3.194786, "dry_up": 0.758196, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083727, "annualized_volatility": 0.340206, "from_high_reference": -0.149541, "from_low_reference": 0.280726 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 84.333334, "fair_value_reference": 60.056562, "structural_low": 73.699997, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.020697, "positive_rate": 0.52381, "directional_follow_through": 0.52381, "median_excess_return": -0.0084, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.611111, "worst_return": -0.228736, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.125975, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.007799, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.322222, "worst_return": -0.156082, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.085528, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.025544, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.263889, "worst_return": -0.143736, "sufficient": 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"rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.133445, "energy": 26.375085, "activity_lines": [ 89.033335, 88.440001, 86.97762, 85.449463 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 91.699997, "volume": 70867734, "typical_volume": 84516461.7, "trend": 84.203334, "fair_value": 59.716597, "relative_strength": -22.70525, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.149485, "energy": 31.00427, "activity_lines": [ 89.82, 89.043637, 87.603334, 85.934839 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 92.699997, "volume": 67400332, "typical_volume": 86448359.5, "trend": 84.333334, "fair_value": 60.056562, "relative_strength": -23.979702, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.923713, "energy": 38.773007, "activity_lines": [ 90.893333, 89.776363, 88.273334, 86.483011 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }