{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5ec04ea0-027b-4fc9-8be1-b894b84a17b1",
    "symbol": "ESQ",
    "name": "Esquire Financial Holdings Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 77.731,
    "architecture_energy": 77.228,
    "architecture_maturity": 28.078,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.155,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.03,
        "rotation_up": 74.54,
        "upward_expansion": 89.86,
        "deceleration": 45.75,
        "rotation_down": 10.56,
        "downward_expansion": 16.52
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        126.516667,
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        114.809906
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 131.38,
    "trend_reference": 111.720196,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.175974,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 77.477318,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.695722,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 7.609949,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.143075,
    "excess_performance": -0.044378,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.175974,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.053959,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.695722,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.203812,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.076099,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.197081,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.143075,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.245755,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 524748,
      "relative_activity": 0.893493,
      "balance": 1.245755,
      "dry_up": 1.254003,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.059081,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.320134,
      "from_high_reference": -0.021838,
      "from_low_reference": 0.434383
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 77.477318,
      "structural_low": 93.82202,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 43,
        "median_return": 0.013347,
        "positive_rate": 0.55814,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.55814,
        "median_excess_return": 0.024043,
        "regime_survival": 0.744186,
        "best_return": 0.184009,
        "worst_return": -0.152124,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 16,
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        "worst_return": -0.076084,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "regime_survival": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.046004,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": 0.185689,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      {
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        "typical_volume": 413190.0,
        "trend": 104.433009,
        "fair_value": 70.161553,
        "relative_strength": 3.642959,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 458510.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 486232.35,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 106.386813,
        "fair_value": 73.173987,
        "relative_strength": -9.244223,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 507304.6,
        "trend": 106.990624,
        "fair_value": 73.618288,
        "relative_strength": -4.980707,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 505723.55,
        "trend": 108.007388,
        "fair_value": 74.539456,
        "relative_strength": -0.471933,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.828417,
        "energy": 60.463148,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 120.34,
        "volume": 540058,
        "typical_volume": 516307.05,
        "trend": 108.57293,
        "fair_value": 75.034785,
        "relative_strength": 0.338521,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 70.950191,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 117.15,
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        "typical_volume": 530534.4,
        "trend": 108.917898,
        "fair_value": 75.497126,
        "relative_strength": -3.92712,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.0925,
        "energy": 62.621114,
        "activity_lines": [
          117.68,
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          110.639006
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 123.26,
        "volume": 756641,
        "typical_volume": 549870.6,
        "trend": 109.473176,
        "fair_value": 75.982105,
        "relative_strength": 5.47553,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.319419,
        "energy": 70.719816,
        "activity_lines": [
          119.759333,
          116.86,
          113.382758,
          111.564303
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 120.1,
        "volume": 916097,
        "typical_volume": 580103.9,
        "trend": 109.988542,
        "fair_value": 76.437252,
        "relative_strength": 4.414987,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.352493,
        "energy": 61.71779,
        "activity_lines": [
          120.276,
          117.922182,
          114.255384,
          112.249905
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 129.22,
        "volume": 748417,
        "typical_volume": 594607.75,
        "trend": 110.931446,
        "fair_value": 76.948834,
        "relative_strength": 11.478205,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.181181,
        "energy": 69.465321,
        "activity_lines": [
          123.394667,
          120.375818,
          115.896781,
          113.490644
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 131.38,
        "volume": 524748,
        "typical_volume": 587299.65,
        "trend": 111.720196,
        "fair_value": 77.477318,
        "relative_strength": 7.609949,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.731232,
        "energy": 77.227904,
        "activity_lines": [
          126.516667,
          122.887273,
          117.651329,
          114.809906
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}