{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5ec0d129-5736-4c5b-91e7-04b43c3ba355",
    "symbol": "TRND",
    "name": "PACER FDS TR TRENDPILOT FUND OF FUNDS ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 76.057,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 71.618,
    "architecture_energy": 40.503,
    "architecture_maturity": 41.162,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.815,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 31.64,
        "rotation_up": 42.43,
        "upward_expansion": 71.79,
        "deceleration": 89.99,
        "rotation_down": 28.05,
        "downward_expansion": 9.79
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        36.757873,
        36.720893,
        36.452065,
        35.926245
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 37.5106,
    "trend_reference": 35.35847,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.060866,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 31.500712,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.190786,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.648054,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.078511,
    "excess_performance": -0.047114,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060866,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030949,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.190786,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.008985,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.026481,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.005809,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.078511,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.495272,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5440,
      "relative_activity": 0.297726,
      "balance": 1.495272,
      "dry_up": 0.523825,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.022853,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.120276,
      "from_high_reference": -0.012879,
      "from_low_reference": 0.25467
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 35.35847,
      "fair_value_reference": 31.500712,
      "structural_low": 32.4093,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.013684,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000196,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.069563,
        "worst_return": -0.03655,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.044706,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.023353,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.134387,
        "worst_return": -0.002188,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.084751,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.060601,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.103462,
        "worst_return": 0.078297,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.085813,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.126918,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.155435,
        "worst_return": 0.016191,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.000898,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.015335,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.046374,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.044763,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.039014,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.031935,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.004198,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.004678,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.006158,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.008156,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.054188,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.007245,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.00316,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.029778,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.170313,
        "energy": 19.589657,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "typical_volume": 12314.15,
        "trend": 33.768813,
        "fair_value": 30.561651,
        "relative_strength": -2.447557,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 40.570148,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 13331.05,
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        "fair_value": 30.622418,
        "relative_strength": -2.472389,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
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        "energy": 53.277745,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 15442.65,
        "trend": 33.978224,
        "fair_value": 30.689615,
        "relative_strength": -2.06714,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 82.886016,
        "energy": 80.758448,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 15676.35,
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        "relative_strength": -3.161554,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 16842.45,
        "trend": 34.178834,
        "fair_value": 30.818962,
        "relative_strength": -2.571781,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 76.539466,
        "energy": 82.176597,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 36.9562,
        "volume": 12196,
        "typical_volume": 16784.15,
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        "fair_value": 30.886244,
        "relative_strength": -2.343042,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 85.917282,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 36.0968,
        "volume": 29237,
        "typical_volume": 17597.7,
        "trend": 34.400145,
        "fair_value": 30.947976,
        "relative_strength": -2.065481,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "direction": 64.89709,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 36.7876,
        "volume": 29669,
        "typical_volume": 18738.05,
        "trend": 34.527224,
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        "relative_strength": -0.68013,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 71.224104,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 19449.55,
        "trend": 34.787449,
        "fair_value": 31.140272,
        "relative_strength": 0.282505,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.001608,
        "energy": 51.707173,
        "activity_lines": [
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          35.28393
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 36.78,
        "volume": 5952,
        "typical_volume": 19377.3,
        "trend": 34.891855,
        "fair_value": 31.204461,
        "relative_strength": -1.19847,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 62.608383,
        "energy": 51.744422,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 4413,
        "typical_volume": 19150.95,
        "trend": 35.00473,
        "fair_value": 31.265056,
        "relative_strength": -2.072191,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.820866,
        "energy": 50.907179,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.84078,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 36.3598,
        "volume": 11354,
        "typical_volume": 19319.4,
        "trend": 35.095377,
        "fair_value": 31.321416,
        "relative_strength": -2.011079,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.992744,
        "energy": 41.347569,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.677533,
          36.675011,
          36.112382,
          35.631314
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 36.1544,
        "volume": 10368,
        "typical_volume": 19186.0,
        "trend": 35.167287,
        "fair_value": 31.375407,
        "relative_strength": -1.935753,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.077399,
        "energy": 31.036583,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.47434,
          36.594995,
          36.186092,
          35.699638
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 36.4259,
        "volume": 11123,
        "typical_volume": 18707.25,
        "trend": 35.256817,
        "fair_value": 31.434236,
        "relative_strength": -2.207777,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.057328,
        "energy": 25.83319,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.430927,
          36.559707,
          36.274783,
          35.780839
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 37.5106,
        "volume": 5440,
        "typical_volume": 18271.85,
        "trend": 35.35847,
        "fair_value": 31.500712,
        "relative_strength": -2.648054,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.617541,
        "energy": 40.502796,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.757873,
          36.720893,
          36.452065,
          35.926245
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}