{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5ed2b13e-4c8a-4f9e-ac7c-5ffdae641063", "symbol": "688565", "name": "Zhejiang Haiyan Power System Resources Environmental Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 77.513, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -45.735, "architecture_energy": 34.508, "architecture_maturity": 65.845, "architecture_confidence": 81.187, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.28, "rotation_up": 26.67, "upward_expansion": 17.05, "deceleration": 46.93, "rotation_down": 38.38, "downward_expansion": 67.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.097333, 9.897798, 10.559397, 11.231303 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 11.18, "trend_reference": 11.978309, "distance_from_trend": -0.066646, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.29179, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.348322, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -0.734806, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.14, "excess_performance": -0.096796, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.066646, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.019351, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.348322, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.30019, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.007348, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.131955, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.14, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.575163, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 16555045, "relative_activity": 1.181564, "balance": 0.575163, "dry_up": 1.409131, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.099381, "annualized_volatility": 0.466918, "from_high_reference": -0.281029, "from_low_reference": 0.448187 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.978309, "fair_value_reference": 8.29179, "structural_low": 7.72, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.007825, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.011699, "regime_survival": 0.8125, "best_return": 0.218605, "worst_return": -0.15, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.016807, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.061789, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.639535, "worst_return": -0.108434, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.014406, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.010949, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.653488, "worst_return": -0.135972, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"activity_lines": [ 9.538, 9.668461, 10.574727, 11.282829 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.18, "volume": 16555045, "typical_volume": 14011131.75, "trend": 11.978309, "fair_value": 8.29179, "relative_strength": -0.734806, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.734544, "energy": 34.508378, "activity_lines": [ 10.097333, 9.897798, 10.559397, 11.231303 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }