{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5ed4340e-eb5d-4c59-99f3-0faa753f9a0a", "symbol": "MALLCOM", "name": "Mallcom (India) Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -49.87, "architecture_energy": 25.0, "architecture_maturity": 68.659, "architecture_confidence": 92.513, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.28, "rotation_up": 21.35, "upward_expansion": 4.18, "deceleration": 47.96, "rotation_down": 44.86, "downward_expansion": 72.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 1011.530009, 1020.611824, 1025.873095, 1038.180747 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 994.450012, "trend_reference": 1058.083323, "distance_from_trend": -0.06014, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1187.975916, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.162904, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.6311, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.16587, "excess_performance": -0.122161, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.06014, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.055728, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.162904, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.075449, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.126311, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060138, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.16587, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.936566, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10100, "relative_activity": 0.52986, "balance": 0.936566, "dry_up": 0.700556, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.07917, "annualized_volatility": 0.326327, "from_high_reference": -0.345757, "from_low_reference": 0.070452 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1058.083323, "fair_value_reference": 1187.975916, "structural_low": 929.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.011518, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.466667, "median_excess_return": 0.011493, "regime_survival": 0.866667, "best_return": 0.185188, "worst_return": -0.125967, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.004282, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.023447, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.157776, "worst_return": -0.115681, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.023843, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.000575, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.324711, "worst_return": -0.05806, 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"relative_strength": -13.355928, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.128093, "energy": 22.634567, "activity_lines": [ 1022.146675, 1024.837276, 1029.729522, 1042.532896 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 994.450012, "volume": 10100, "typical_volume": 19061.65, "trend": 1058.083323, "fair_value": 1187.975916, "relative_strength": -12.6311, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.870135, "energy": 24.999837, "activity_lines": [ 1011.530009, 1020.611824, 1025.873095, 1038.180747 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }