{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5ed62714-94be-4f7a-acf8-eb1d76808431", "symbol": "COPH", "name": "ConocoPhillips", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 76.74, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 31.069, "architecture_energy": 31.048, "architecture_maturity": 18.281, "architecture_confidence": 43.492, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.71, "rotation_up": 63.7, "upward_expansion": 61.57, "deceleration": 56.44, "rotation_down": 7.13, "downward_expansion": 16.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 102.172, 99.639273, 99.90758, 100.284501 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 101.800003, "trend_reference": 98.727748, "distance_from_trend": 0.031118, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 91.958752, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.107018, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.907303, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.146052, "excess_performance": -0.028195, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.031118, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.077008, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.107018, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042593, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.069073, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.050037, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.146052, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.801471, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.801471, "dry_up": 1.297619, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052705, "annualized_volatility": 0.376685, "from_high_reference": -0.129512, "from_low_reference": 0.428298 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 98.727748, "fair_value_reference": 91.958752, "structural_low": 88.767743, "invalidation": "A 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102.144668, 98.457294 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 101.540001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 31.7, "trend": 93.559537, "fair_value": 91.532433, "relative_strength": -3.178716, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.932946, "energy": 12.48601, "activity_lines": [ 101.434667, 101.584122, 102.330276, 99.028368 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 94.860001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 31.7, "trend": 94.219847, "fair_value": 91.610328, "relative_strength": -12.911245, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.755156, "energy": 9.181223, "activity_lines": [ 99.086667, 100.364109, 101.788554, 99.112269 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 93.199997, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 31.7, "trend": 94.813033, "fair_value": 91.658467, "relative_strength": -12.591392, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -3.007112, "energy": 15.274728, "activity_lines": [ 96.838666, 98.993646, 101.046998, 99.046472 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 92.050003, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 31.7, "trend": 95.225736, "fair_value": 91.702478, "relative_strength": -15.429164, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.549484, "energy": 40.291213, "activity_lines": [ 94.902001, 97.457207, 100.175094, 98.868212 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 94.639999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 18.9, "trend": 95.698897, "fair_value": 91.754403, "relative_strength": -11.661069, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.024702, "energy": 43.265357, "activity_lines": [ 94.150667, 96.588727, 99.552474, 98.830423 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 99.629997, "volume": 109, "typical_volume": 23.95, "trend": 96.427481, "fair_value": 91.806283, "relative_strength": -5.109288, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -14.9053, "energy": 32.36649, "activity_lines": [ 95.607999, 96.864363, 99.395505, 99.084042 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 105.279999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 21.95, "trend": 97.358809, "fair_value": 91.872485, "relative_strength": -1.058873, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.011395, "energy": 18.02098, "activity_lines": [ 99.075999, 98.11709, 99.747769, 99.655172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 103.459999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 21.95, "trend": 98.146605, "fair_value": 91.928179, "relative_strength": -2.651902, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.310467, "energy": 26.455399, "activity_lines": [ 101.242666, 99.027636, 99.903505, 100.048797 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 101.800003, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 21.0, "trend": 98.727748, "fair_value": 91.958752, "relative_strength": -6.907303, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.069439, "energy": 31.047979, "activity_lines": [ 102.172, 99.639273, 99.90758, 100.284501 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }