{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5edfc1d3-8ff2-40ef-94e0-776668e15e40", "symbol": "VOLT", "name": "WisdomTree Battery Solutions UCITS ETF - USD Acc", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 72.533, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -31.334, "architecture_energy": 70.793, "architecture_maturity": 10.827, "architecture_confidence": 71.724, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.68, "rotation_up": 14.09, "upward_expansion": 32.08, "deceleration": 49.14, "rotation_down": 75.28, "downward_expansion": 61.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 48.779999, 50.602817, 53.828071, 53.717634 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 50.0, "trend_reference": 53.210666, "distance_from_trend": -0.060339, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 37.069711, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.34881, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.641058, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.021033, "excess_performance": -0.06185, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.060339, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03965, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.34881, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.357893, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.086411, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.43046, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.021033, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.583857, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 701, "relative_activity": 0.906036, "balance": 4.583857, "dry_up": 0.379669, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052692, "annualized_volatility": 0.315646, "from_high_reference": -0.207607, "from_low_reference": 0.36556 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 53.210666, "fair_value_reference": 37.069711, "structural_low": 45.759998, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.061731, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.009798, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.061731, "worst_return": 0.061731, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.21569, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.187912, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.21569, "worst_return": 0.21569, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.733235, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.659551, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.733235, "worst_return": 0.733235, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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52.667667, "fair_value": 36.669423, "relative_strength": 1.165376, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.927113, "energy": 24.666427, "activity_lines": [ 57.020666, 58.609455, 56.761881, 55.026925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 53.799999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 911.0, "trend": 52.882833, "fair_value": 36.766667, "relative_strength": 0.002638, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.336928, "energy": 28.191093, "activity_lines": [ 55.471999, 57.652182, 56.667714, 55.099978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 50.34, "volume": 220, "typical_volume": 820.3, "trend": 53.012667, "fair_value": 36.830481, "relative_strength": -5.496645, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -22.574738, "energy": 37.494736, "activity_lines": [ 53.37, 56.124, 56.227881, 54.935925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 47.509998, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 737.65, "trend": 53.080666, "fair_value": 36.880417, "relative_strength": -11.574847, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -52.028209, "energy": 56.896904, "activity_lines": [ 51.015332, 54.226727, 55.519762, 54.580914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 47.759998, "volume": 294, "typical_volume": 737.45, "trend": 53.133166, "fair_value": 36.931602, "relative_strength": -11.08143, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -45.303342, "energy": 77.293413, "activity_lines": [ 49.377999, 52.619817, 54.861595, 54.237645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 48.264999, "volume": 180, "typical_volume": 740.5, "trend": 53.192, "fair_value": 36.989583, "relative_strength": -10.420008, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -36.314304, "energy": 75.292363, "activity_lines": [ 48.624999, 51.328363, 54.258357, 53.923569 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 50.0, "volume": 701, "typical_volume": 773.7, "trend": 53.210666, "fair_value": 37.069711, "relative_strength": -8.641058, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.334078, "energy": 70.793121, "activity_lines": [ 48.779999, 50.602817, 53.828071, 53.717634 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }