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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 73.989, "architecture_energy": 47.115, "architecture_maturity": 25.789, "architecture_confidence": 83.753, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.69, "rotation_up": 57.72, "upward_expansion": 76.91, "deceleration": 56.84, "rotation_down": 16.67, "downward_expansion": 5.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 153.406576, 151.156472, 148.541503, 145.915846 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 163.179993, "trend_reference": 142.222449, "distance_from_trend": 0.147358, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 122.574923, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.331267, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 12.53545, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.174712, "excess_performance": 0.23176, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.147358, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.049139, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.331267, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.11309, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.125355, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.254399, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.174712, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.780146, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 29813, "relative_activity": 3.441338, "balance": 0.780146, "dry_up": 2.454953, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.059957, "annualized_volatility": 0.279973, "from_high_reference": -0.015624, "from_low_reference": 0.343105 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 142.222449, "fair_value_reference": 122.574923, "structural_low": 121.892891, 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"activity_lines": [ 149.11484, 147.274558, 145.385068, 142.795754 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 147.292099, "volume": 41895, "typical_volume": 7770.05, "trend": 139.439849, "fair_value": 120.999982, "relative_strength": -0.629648, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.124383, "energy": 30.345791, "activity_lines": [ 148.762498, 147.563383, 145.835653, 143.349499 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 145.894638, "volume": 4553, "typical_volume": 7938.3, "trend": 140.073945, "fair_value": 121.50857, "relative_strength": -1.077144, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.55607, "energy": 25.69011, "activity_lines": [ 147.570195, 147.483904, 146.099815, 143.765937 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 151.135116, "volume": 8810, "typical_volume": 8007.95, "trend": 140.917575, "fair_value": 121.998801, "relative_strength": 0.830127, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.397559, "energy": 26.728435, "activity_lines": [ 148.58841, 148.323519, 146.788654, 144.479561 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 163.179993, "volume": 29813, "typical_volume": 8663.2, "trend": 142.222449, "fair_value": 122.574923, "relative_strength": 12.53545, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.988922, "energy": 47.114957, "activity_lines": [ 153.406576, 151.156472, 148.541503, 145.915846 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }