{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5efd8b9c-25bb-45f2-a3d6-e9bd19e5771c", "symbol": "CANG", "name": "Cango Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.383, "architecture_energy": 76.116, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 92.585, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.09, "rotation_up": 26.87, "upward_expansion": 17.84, "deceleration": 40.65, "rotation_down": 56.73, "downward_expansion": 91.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.647333, 1.844182, 2.760152, 3.619548 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1.67, "trend_reference": 5.3592, "distance_from_trend": -0.688386, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.33717, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.864637, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -86.913759, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.828507, "excess_performance": -0.954132, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.688386, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.433654, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.864637, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.412523, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.869138, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.236885, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.828507, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.057467, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 320730, "relative_activity": 0.054271, "balance": 1.057467, "dry_up": 0.213958, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.508003, "annualized_volatility": 1.292791, "from_high_reference": -0.93982, "from_low_reference": 0.227941 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.3592, "fair_value_reference": 12.33717, "structural_low": 1.36, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": 0.012815, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.466667, "median_excess_return": -0.016823, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.584548, "worst_return": -0.543084, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.136316, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.156283, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.656798, "worst_return": -0.42671, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.127031, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.247869, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.637255, "worst_return": -0.648078, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-05-17", "end": "2024-08-23", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.091463, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-08-30", "end": "2024-10-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.290698, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-01", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.614035, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.028846, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.283951, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-07-11", 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1.969327, 2.9367, 3.885798 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.67, "volume": 320730, "typical_volume": 5909832.35, "trend": 5.3592, "fair_value": 12.33717, "relative_strength": -86.913759, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.382679, "energy": 76.115956, "activity_lines": [ 1.647333, 1.844182, 2.760152, 3.619548 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }