{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5eff5fcb-8845-496d-816b-3282a7763df3", "symbol": "688227", "name": "Bingo Software Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 66.862, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -17.509, "architecture_energy": 40.41, "architecture_maturity": 2.806, "architecture_confidence": 56.93, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.76, "rotation_up": 17.89, "upward_expansion": 24.76, "deceleration": 48.86, "rotation_down": 58.73, "downward_expansion": 47.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 77.195999, 83.194726, 89.184285, 87.590236 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 83.879997, "trend_reference": 84.734, "distance_from_trend": -0.010079, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 37.330962, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.246928, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 25.492602, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.201375, "excess_performance": 0.244579, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.010079, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.124683, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.246928, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.88711, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.254926, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.0324, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.201375, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.304365, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 23804863, "relative_activity": 0.993891, "balance": 0.304365, "dry_up": 0.897552, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.207375, "annualized_volatility": 1.113204, "from_high_reference": -0.429388, "from_low_reference": 1.796 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 84.734, "fair_value_reference": 37.330962, "structural_low": 56.299999, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.138588, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.081554, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.267438, "worst_return": 0.009737, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.02629, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.091657, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.02629, "worst_return": 0.02629, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 1.136319, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.97878, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.136319, "worst_return": 1.136319, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"energy": 22.406211, "activity_lines": [ 96.510666, 93.711272, 94.627048, 89.823011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 75.18, "volume": 19712542, "typical_volume": 22176902.4, "trend": 83.700333, "fair_value": 36.325, "relative_strength": 22.214974, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 1.354313, "energy": 2.984721, "activity_lines": [ 89.904666, 89.937091, 93.251667, 89.273914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 72.599998, "volume": 21807354, "typical_volume": 22768351.0, "trend": 83.991666, "fair_value": 36.641987, "relative_strength": 15.067712, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.10139, "energy": 21.88079, "activity_lines": [ 82.831332, 86.744727, 91.642524, 88.557763 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 69.220001, "volume": 20664953, "typical_volume": 23243374.2, "trend": 84.105, "fair_value": 36.936218, "relative_strength": 8.01237, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.47087, "energy": 44.253497, "activity_lines": [ 76.611333, 83.447636, 89.71519, 87.604753 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 83.879997, "volume": 23804863, "typical_volume": 23951190.3, "trend": 84.734, "fair_value": 37.330962, "relative_strength": 25.492602, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -17.509234, "energy": 40.40986, "activity_lines": [ 77.195999, 83.194726, 89.184285, 87.590236 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }