{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5eff767c-75bc-4032-b5a6-711cca65bbe6", "symbol": "603110", "name": "New East New Materials Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.904, "architecture_energy": 26.445, "architecture_maturity": 40.369, "architecture_confidence": 90.872, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.66, "rotation_up": 35.3, "upward_expansion": 61.94, "deceleration": 92.78, "rotation_down": 28.3, "downward_expansion": 13.61 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.252, 22.102364, 21.927857, 20.934043 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 25.540001, "trend_reference": 19.655333, "distance_from_trend": 0.299393, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.063115, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.413931, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 39.578202, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.524776, "excess_performance": 0.56798, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.299393, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.102787, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.413931, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.081404, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.395782, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.075283, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.524776, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.688801, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 75053213, "relative_activity": 1.242672, "balance": 0.688801, "dry_up": 1.529712, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.123727, "annualized_volatility": 0.606835, "from_high_reference": -0.073967, "from_low_reference": 0.754121 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.655333, "fair_value_reference": 18.063115, "structural_low": 14.56, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.029917, "positive_rate": 0.608696, "directional_follow_through": 0.608696, "median_excess_return": 0.013892, "regime_survival": 0.565217, "best_return": 0.381519, "worst_return": -0.148311, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.054249, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": 0.024072, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.365017, "worst_return": -0.219906, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.044806, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.097974, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.557519, "worst_return": -0.537996, "sufficient": true }, { 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19.071667, "fair_value": 18.166845, "relative_strength": 20.574241, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.61425, "energy": 23.054098, "activity_lines": [ 22.046667, 22.183455, 21.504715, 20.417893 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.73, "volume": 72972914, "typical_volume": 59268726.65, "trend": 19.158667, "fair_value": 18.109265, "relative_strength": 7.207329, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.232442, "energy": 14.164588, "activity_lines": [ 20.788, 21.504182, 21.359096, 20.39585 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.299999, "volume": 87304968, "typical_volume": 60497955.05, "trend": 19.339333, "fair_value": 18.077041, "relative_strength": 20.768107, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.652247, "energy": 13.418202, "activity_lines": [ 20.744667, 21.394727, 21.451905, 20.534 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.540001, "volume": 75053213, "typical_volume": 60396646.5, "trend": 19.655333, "fair_value": 18.063115, "relative_strength": 39.578202, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.903716, "energy": 26.444607, "activity_lines": [ 22.252, 22.102364, 21.927857, 20.934043 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }