{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5f172812-7931-4290-969c-954585d5c4fc", "symbol": "LGVN", "name": "Longeveron LLC", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -26.475, "architecture_energy": 23.161, "architecture_maturity": 15.063, "architecture_confidence": 73.84, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.94, "rotation_up": 28.29, "upward_expansion": 9.29, "deceleration": 58.75, "rotation_down": 45.46, "downward_expansion": 48.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.690333, 0.695409, 0.744808, 0.767173 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.766, "trend_reference": 0.75171, "distance_from_trend": 0.01901, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.269515, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.820589, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -9.699549, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.493177, "excess_performance": 0.305724, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.01901, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041097, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.820589, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.059424, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.096995, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.129262, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.493177, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.619075, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1939045, "relative_activity": 0.902192, "balance": 0.619075, "dry_up": 0.618878, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.166218, "annualized_volatility": 1.221513, "from_high_reference": -0.377236, "from_low_reference": 0.612632 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.75171, "fair_value_reference": 4.269515, "structural_low": 0.475, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.09589, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.063849, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.168019, "worst_return": -0.113636, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.223744, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.280579, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.087181, "worst_return": -0.253788, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.333333, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.306928, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.243251, "worst_return": -0.795455, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"mixed", "direction": -32.455057, "energy": 49.483227, "activity_lines": [ 0.675507, 0.712884, 0.785172, 0.777745 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.6, "volume": 756088, "typical_volume": 17704096.8, "trend": 0.743337, "fair_value": 4.685108, "relative_strength": -27.708105, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -43.515764, "energy": 59.417352, "activity_lines": [ 0.640633, 0.689273, 0.763163, 0.768643 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.7015, "volume": 1560666, "typical_volume": 3895831.4, "trend": 0.746953, "fair_value": 4.47422, "relative_strength": -13.268766, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -32.566976, "energy": 44.772511, "activity_lines": [ 0.654267, 0.685398, 0.750267, 0.765944 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.766, "volume": 1939045, "typical_volume": 2149260.35, "trend": 0.75171, "fair_value": 4.269515, "relative_strength": -9.699549, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.475449, "energy": 23.160752, "activity_lines": [ 0.690333, 0.695409, 0.744808, 0.767173 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }