{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5f1e62f4-6543-489b-a34a-37d6cb2081b1", "symbol": "DXJD", "name": "WisdomTree Japan Equity UCITS ETF - CHF Hedged Acc", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 89.899, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 68.472, "architecture_energy": 42.884, "architecture_maturity": 74.598, "architecture_confidence": 60.828, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.46, "rotation_up": 47.08, "upward_expansion": 74.63, "deceleration": 68.2, "rotation_down": 27.43, "downward_expansion": 10.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 58.784, 58.707455, 57.927857, 57.111548 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 59.57, "trend_reference": 56.118333, "distance_from_trend": 0.061507, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 41.395558, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.439043, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 3.649337, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.071403, "excess_performance": -0.01148, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.061507, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.063613, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.439043, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001035, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.036493, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.108399, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.071403, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.818016, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14668, "relative_activity": 2.702757, "balance": 0.818016, "dry_up": 1.524355, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.02642, "annualized_volatility": 0.188518, "from_high_reference": -0.009972, "from_low_reference": 0.391172 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 56.118333, "fair_value_reference": 41.395558, "structural_low": 50.790001, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 47, "median_return": 0.015543, "positive_rate": 0.574468, "directional_follow_through": 0.574468, "median_excess_return": 0.011532, "regime_survival": 0.808511, "best_return": 0.114214, "worst_return": -0.161109, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.047602, "positive_rate": 0.6875, "directional_follow_through": 0.6875, "median_excess_return": 0.025165, "regime_survival": 0.6875, "best_return": 0.151252, "worst_return": -0.099735, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.111157, "positive_rate": 0.777778, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": 0.08732, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.297311, "worst_return": -0.01386, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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57.05081, 56.293376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 57.470001, "volume": 8355, "typical_volume": 5789.5, "trend": 55.242666, "fair_value": 40.830878, "relative_strength": 2.240444, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.368236, "energy": 47.59055, "activity_lines": [ 58.483334, 58.284909, 57.180048, 56.454495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 59.16, "volume": 2115, "typical_volume": 5306.25, "trend": 55.573666, "fair_value": 41.019276, "relative_strength": 5.04149, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.395688, "energy": 50.863532, "activity_lines": [ 58.622667, 58.495455, 57.472048, 56.707226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 58.139999, "volume": 7953, "typical_volume": 4833.75, "trend": 55.869333, "fair_value": 41.204468, "relative_strength": 2.807227, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.186767, "energy": 34.534637, "activity_lines": [ 58.461333, 58.484909, 57.643667, 56.872796 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 59.57, "volume": 14668, "typical_volume": 5427.05, "trend": 56.118333, "fair_value": 41.395558, "relative_strength": 3.649337, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.471611, "energy": 42.88399, "activity_lines": [ 58.784, 58.707455, 57.927857, 57.111548 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }