{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5f255225-1c47-4ea6-8b7b-0c7ba3af83ab",
    "symbol": "ADX",
    "name": "Audax Renovables, S.A.",
    "exchange": "MCE",
    "country": "ES",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^IBEX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -70.215,
    "architecture_energy": 75.466,
    "architecture_maturity": 15.289,
    "architecture_confidence": 92.408,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.3,
        "rotation_up": 14.78,
        "upward_expansion": 17.19,
        "deceleration": 38.81,
        "rotation_down": 73.85,
        "downward_expansion": 95.19
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.2012,
        1.219088,
        1.27386,
        1.295147
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 1.194,
    "trend_reference": 1.313702,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.091118,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 1.444153,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.173218,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -23.530276,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.07728,
    "excess_performance": -0.201711,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.091118,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.019775,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.173218,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.126761,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.235303,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.112157,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.07728,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.460093,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 606178,
      "relative_activity": 0.559028,
      "balance": 0.460093,
      "dry_up": 0.591783,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.044313,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.252661,
      "from_high_reference": -0.212401,
      "from_low_reference": 0.010152
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.313702,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.444153,
      "structural_low": 1.182,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 32,
        "median_return": -0.020646,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.034145,
        "regime_survival": 0.8125,
        "best_return": 0.606431,
        "worst_return": -0.249735,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": -0.033957,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.098423,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.52635,
        "worst_return": -0.268186,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.088095,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.171087,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.545742,
        "worst_return": -0.300175,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.050537,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.177807,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.348547,
        "worst_return": -0.402781,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-03-29",
        "end": "2024-07-05",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.209032,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.004956,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "gate": "down",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 1309260.25,
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        "fair_value": 1.444399,
        "relative_strength": -21.657638,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -76.458041,
        "energy": 80.945179,
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          1.224744,
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          1.309619,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.208,
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        "typical_volume": 1190098.15,
        "trend": 1.325036,
        "fair_value": 1.444426,
        "relative_strength": -21.781668,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -69.771084,
        "energy": 77.531139,
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          1.215732,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.2,
        "volume": 537117,
        "typical_volume": 1123221.2,
        "trend": 1.318636,
        "fair_value": 1.444401,
        "relative_strength": -22.320254,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -70.532881,
        "energy": 77.726429,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.208133,
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          1.286189,
          1.303188
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.194,
        "volume": 606178,
        "typical_volume": 1084342.5,
        "trend": 1.313702,
        "fair_value": 1.444153,
        "relative_strength": -23.530276,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -70.215315,
        "energy": 75.466108,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.2012,
          1.219088,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}