{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5f2a8465-029b-403b-bb08-23f41b103a20", "symbol": "CFYN", "name": "Caffyns plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 67.886, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -12.144, "architecture_energy": 5.211, "architecture_maturity": 25.701, "architecture_confidence": 67.424, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.63, "rotation_up": 27.49, "upward_expansion": 34.99, "deceleration": 31.03, "rotation_down": 26.65, "downward_expansion": 38.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 400.0, 398.636364, 398.452381, 399.107527 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 400.0, "trend_reference": 401.5, "distance_from_trend": -0.003736, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 458.884499, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.128321, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -14.838636, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.036145, "excess_performance": -0.08738, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.003736, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.031731, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.128321, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017599, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.148386, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010371, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.036145, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.666667, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5722, "relative_activity": 4.464906, "balance": 1.666667, "dry_up": 1.945886, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.133438, "annualized_volatility": 0.056914, "from_high_reference": -0.27264, "from_low_reference": 0.154026 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 401.5, "fair_value_reference": 458.884499, 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16.026034, "activity_lines": [ 396.666667, 396.818182, 397.97619, 399.967742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 400.0, "volume": 913, "typical_volume": 868.75, "trend": 403.666667, "fair_value": 461.314964, "relative_strength": -14.181296, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -28.709178, "energy": 10.612611, "activity_lines": [ 398.0, 397.272727, 398.095238, 399.698925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 400.0, "volume": 1701, "typical_volume": 951.35, "trend": 403.166667, "fair_value": 460.675658, "relative_strength": -14.714066, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -25.372034, "energy": 9.610951, "activity_lines": [ 399.0, 397.727273, 398.214286, 399.462366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 400.0, "volume": 1639, "typical_volume": 1008.3, "trend": 402.333333, "fair_value": 460.036351, "relative_strength": -15.167779, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.380146, "energy": 8.958157, "activity_lines": [ 399.666667, 398.181818, 398.333333, 399.258065 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 400.0, "volume": 5722, "typical_volume": 1281.55, "trend": 401.5, "fair_value": 458.884499, "relative_strength": -14.838636, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -12.143583, "energy": 5.211477, "activity_lines": [ 400.0, 398.636364, 398.452381, 399.107527 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }