{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5f4e1580-4b9e-48d7-ab29-192ed1df26bf", "symbol": "000639", "name": "Xiwang Foodstuffs Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -43.803, "architecture_energy": 35.944, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 78.554, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.1, "rotation_up": 27.97, "upward_expansion": 24.54, "deceleration": 47.0, "rotation_down": 31.64, "downward_expansion": 63.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.502, 1.430909, 1.526905, 1.778129 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 1.57, "trend_reference": 2.156667, "distance_from_trend": -0.272025, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.164487, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.503869, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -43.467416, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.504732, "excess_performance": -0.512132, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.272025, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.235044, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.503869, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.029653, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.434674, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.097299, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.504732, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.975033, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 288142835, "relative_activity": 0.988688, "balance": 1.975033, "dry_up": 1.297682, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.126409, "annualized_volatility": 0.733309, "from_high_reference": -0.617073, "from_low_reference": 0.389381 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.156667, "fair_value_reference": 3.164487, "structural_low": 1.13, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": -0.012097, "positive_rate": 0.485714, "directional_follow_through": 0.514286, "median_excess_return": 0.008926, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.204433, "worst_return": -0.3625, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.006943, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": 0.061906, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 1.035573, "worst_return": -0.438356, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.017822, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.005079, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.252964, "worst_return": -0.201893, "sufficient": true }, { 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"Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2024-11-08", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.893382, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.072776, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.051051, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.037736, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.047022, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Developing", 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"energy": 60.967054, "activity_lines": [ 1.375333, 1.377455, 1.575714, 1.866172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.56, "volume": 356306842, "typical_volume": 304898789.1, "trend": 2.214667, "fair_value": 3.184295, "relative_strength": -41.849837, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.773311, "energy": 45.120552, "activity_lines": [ 1.450667, 1.403091, 1.547762, 1.81972 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.57, "volume": 288142835, "typical_volume": 291439659.7, "trend": 2.156667, "fair_value": 3.164487, "relative_strength": -43.467416, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.802806, "energy": 35.94448, "activity_lines": [ 1.502, 1.430909, 1.526905, 1.778129 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }