{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5f60941d-21cc-4c4f-bd48-ac8bb79125c5", "symbol": "601615", "name": "Ming Yang Smart Energy Group Limited", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.762, "architecture_energy": 56.174, "architecture_maturity": 64.803, "architecture_confidence": 90.886, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.81, "rotation_up": 26.69, "upward_expansion": 10.12, "deceleration": 59.62, "rotation_down": 50.29, "downward_expansion": 81.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.148667, 11.273456, 12.74375, 14.326311 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 11.6, "trend_reference": 16.455991, "distance_from_trend": -0.29509, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.476104, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.070223, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.105977, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.5, "excess_performance": -0.456796, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.29509, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.05005, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.070223, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.371669, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.24106, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.27382, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.5, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.753405, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 258455382, "relative_activity": 0.739177, "balance": 0.753405, "dry_up": 0.858697, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.147696, "annualized_volatility": 0.556531, "from_high_reference": -0.568773, "from_low_reference": 0.194645 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.455991, "fair_value_reference": 12.476104, "structural_low": 9.71, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.044986, "positive_rate": 0.36, "directional_follow_through": 0.64, "median_excess_return": -0.027685, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.289125, "worst_return": -0.164016, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.065166, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.036564, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.726946, "worst_return": -0.250317, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.00941, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.064496, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.564224, "worst_return": -0.299171, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.034328, "energy": 87.042387, "activity_lines": [ 11.041886, 12.015078, 13.792746, 15.376697 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.96, "volume": 360894667, "typical_volume": 367806653.15, "trend": 16.671325, "fair_value": 12.536095, "relative_strength": -26.124211, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.087752, "energy": 63.452738, "activity_lines": [ 10.93719, 11.630537, 13.369843, 15.002009 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.15, "volume": 227520970, "typical_volume": 356975561.65, "trend": 16.551991, "fair_value": 12.502696, "relative_strength": -25.079838, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.291296, "energy": 61.225458, "activity_lines": [ 10.966462, 11.359815, 13.009177, 14.645795 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.6, "volume": 258455382, "typical_volume": 349652926.75, "trend": 16.455991, "fair_value": 12.476104, "relative_strength": -24.105977, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.762035, "energy": 56.174464, "activity_lines": [ 11.148667, 11.273456, 12.74375, 14.326311 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }