{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5f6eb4a5-9184-4a38-a48c-47ba79257123",
    "symbol": "EPAB",
    "name": "Amundi S&P Eurozone Climate Paris Aligned UCITS ETF Acc",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 92.613,
    "architecture_energy": 82.465,
    "architecture_maturity": 31.579,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.164,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.88,
        "rotation_up": 69.94,
        "upward_expansion": 89.26,
        "deceleration": 50.81,
        "rotation_down": 20.72,
        "downward_expansion": 15.92
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        38.318905,
        37.523075
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 41.105,
    "trend_reference": 36.762,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.118138,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 31.547091,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.302973,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.076027,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.153015,
    "excess_performance": 0.070132,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.118138,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034568,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.302973,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.125798,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03076,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033809,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.153015,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 10.963317,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3137,
      "relative_activity": 0.283482,
      "balance": 10.963317,
      "dry_up": 0.538792,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.019678,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.177003,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.245606
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 36.762,
      "fair_value_reference": 31.547091,
      "structural_low": 33.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": 0.004906,
        "positive_rate": 0.607143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.607143,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001572,
        "regime_survival": 0.821429,
        "best_return": 0.102888,
        "worst_return": -0.138116,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006824,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
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        "worst_return": -0.106777,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "worst_return": -0.001931,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.048904,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "relative_strength": -0.304888,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 13.517231,
        "energy": 22.466343,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.879332,
          35.354818,
          35.41919,
          35.468317
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 35.445,
        "volume": 905,
        "typical_volume": 11621.1,
        "trend": 35.482873,
        "fair_value": 30.551001,
        "relative_strength": -2.391533,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 8.296904,
        "energy": 9.778755,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.691666,
          35.441181,
          35.404452,
          35.467712
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 36.705002,
        "volume": 6156,
        "typical_volume": 11746.85,
        "trend": 35.45,
        "fair_value": 30.62363,
        "relative_strength": -1.028166,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.298854,
        "energy": 29.221015,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.974,
          35.753636,
          35.510548,
          35.546559
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 37.25,
        "volume": 7143,
        "typical_volume": 10774.2,
        "trend": 35.533667,
        "fair_value": 30.698181,
        "relative_strength": 0.153292,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.085263,
        "energy": 46.969939,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.448667,
          36.115818,
          35.664667,
          35.662688
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 37.435001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 10774.2,
        "trend": 35.642,
        "fair_value": 30.774751,
        "relative_strength": 1.777839,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.279389,
        "energy": 69.506378,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.871334,
          36.434364,
          35.834405,
          35.785355
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 38.380001,
        "volume": 3029,
        "typical_volume": 10924.9,
        "trend": 35.771333,
        "fair_value": 30.852828,
        "relative_strength": 1.861356,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.584361,
        "energy": 84.877787,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.483001,
          36.845637,
          36.091429,
          35.962
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 39.384998,
        "volume": 2811,
        "typical_volume": 10984.15,
        "trend": 35.951167,
        "fair_value": 30.942476,
        "relative_strength": 3.9598,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.760164,
        "energy": 94.145578,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.263667,
          37.365545,
          36.433881,
          36.19514
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 38.540001,
        "volume": 5,
        "typical_volume": 10847.0,
        "trend": 36.067667,
        "fair_value": 31.02254,
        "relative_strength": -1.094757,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.862217,
        "energy": 87.666608,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.5,
          37.673818,
          36.678548,
          36.362161
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 39.305,
        "volume": 2412,
        "typical_volume": 10967.6,
        "trend": 36.191667,
        "fair_value": 31.112668,
        "relative_strength": -0.868417,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.350571,
        "energy": 91.892207,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.869,
          38.090727,
          36.98231,
          36.571022
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 38.764999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 10701.5,
        "trend": 36.2945,
        "fair_value": 31.194559,
        "relative_strength": -0.878254,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.785973,
        "energy": 86.833147,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.921,
          38.341091,
          37.218881,
          36.737043
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 38.615002,
        "volume": 2961,
        "typical_volume": 10788.8,
        "trend": 36.394,
        "fair_value": 31.276098,
        "relative_strength": -1.943251,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.498691,
        "energy": 75.602838,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.834334,
          38.505637,
          37.43131,
          36.886753
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 38.904999,
        "volume": 17127,
        "typical_volume": 11195.65,
        "trend": 36.5035,
        "fair_value": 31.357764,
        "relative_strength": -1.027861,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.815296,
        "energy": 72.315908,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.828667,
          38.673364,
          37.662619,
          37.048753
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 39.369999,
        "volume": 624,
        "typical_volume": 11223.8,
        "trend": 36.6195,
        "fair_value": 31.44661,
        "relative_strength": 0.076103,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.397132,
        "energy": 65.603646,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.01,
          38.862727,
          37.920952,
          37.233688
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 41.105,
        "volume": 3137,
        "typical_volume": 11065.95,
        "trend": 36.762,
        "fair_value": 31.547091,
        "relative_strength": 3.076027,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 92.613401,
        "energy": 82.465071,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.714333,
          39.319091,
          38.318905,
          37.523075
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}