{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5f7c9339-2f1a-49c2-b382-17c14b490cab", "symbol": "HPIL", "name": "Hindprakash Industries Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 51.194, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -3.814, "architecture_energy": 5.134, "architecture_maturity": 8.439, "architecture_confidence": 54.583, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.46, "rotation_up": 28.14, "upward_expansion": 20.05, "deceleration": 59.23, "rotation_down": 34.86, "downward_expansion": 33.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 126.762667, 126.592364, 128.419191, 128.012452 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 129.449997, "trend_reference": 128.220334, "distance_from_trend": 0.00959, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 136.051842, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.048524, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -0.435284, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.009564, "excess_performance": 0.034145, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.00959, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.048524, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.080126, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.004353, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.07484, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.009564, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.78086, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 52973, "relative_activity": 3.800331, "balance": 3.78086, "dry_up": 1.372672, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063107, "annualized_volatility": 0.280326, "from_high_reference": -0.210671, "from_low_reference": 0.209813 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 128.220334, "fair_value_reference": 136.051842, 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"activity_lines": [ 125.47, 126.960727, 128.573953, 128.358388 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 125.660004, "volume": 6658, "typical_volume": 11418.7, "trend": 128.967001, "fair_value": 135.851206, "relative_strength": -0.392289, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.49676, "energy": 35.226195, "activity_lines": [ 125.211334, 126.443455, 128.412287, 128.130926 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 126.080002, "volume": 13609, "typical_volume": 11866.05, "trend": 128.399334, "fair_value": 135.974764, "relative_strength": -2.283994, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.28112, "energy": 31.276141, "activity_lines": [ 125.378002, 126.154001, 128.269001, 127.944668 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 129.449997, "volume": 52973, "typical_volume": 13939.05, "trend": 128.220334, "fair_value": 136.051842, "relative_strength": -0.435284, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -3.814481, "energy": 5.134244, "activity_lines": [ 126.762667, 126.592364, 128.419191, 128.012452 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }