{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5f804c88-9a51-4cf3-bd6f-69fcf4e1d601", "symbol": "CURR", "name": "Currenc Group Inc. Ordinary Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 37.281, "architecture_energy": 27.856, "architecture_maturity": 27.819, "architecture_confidence": 75.12, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.12, "rotation_up": 53.77, "upward_expansion": 67.66, "deceleration": 52.42, "rotation_down": 13.96, "downward_expansion": 10.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.27, 3.137273, 3.17381, 3.055269 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 3.11, "trend_reference": 2.77, "distance_from_trend": 0.122744, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.093182, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.485776, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 11.604891, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.159722, "excess_performance": 0.972269, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.122744, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.101903, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.485776, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.815498, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.116049, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.823161, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.159722, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.662117, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 512776, "relative_activity": 0.635524, "balance": 0.662117, "dry_up": 0.744185, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.192283, "annualized_volatility": 0.922874, "from_high_reference": -0.341799, "from_low_reference": 1.410853 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.77, "fair_value_reference": 2.093182, "structural_low": 1.44, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.058827, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.057091, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.107914, "worst_return": 0.00974, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": 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2.865333, 2.975455, 3.086286, 2.885409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.41, "volume": 423294, "typical_volume": 797262.0, "trend": 2.627833, "fair_value": 2.057055, "relative_strength": 29.678942, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.531055, "energy": 14.976885, "activity_lines": [ 3.050667, 3.018727, 3.126286, 2.939441 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.24, "volume": 624814, "typical_volume": 795084.75, "trend": 2.672167, "fair_value": 2.069004, "relative_strength": 24.783244, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.283021, "energy": 17.614152, "activity_lines": [ 3.137333, 3.050364, 3.14381, 2.978935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.47, "volume": 840917, "typical_volume": 805338.35, "trend": 2.724667, "fair_value": 2.083014, "relative_strength": 31.949644, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.603342, "energy": 28.286819, "activity_lines": [ 3.286667, 3.130182, 3.178667, 3.030409 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.11, "volume": 512776, "typical_volume": 806855.85, "trend": 2.77, "fair_value": 2.093182, "relative_strength": 11.604891, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.281037, "energy": 27.855588, "activity_lines": [ 3.27, 3.137273, 3.17381, 3.055269 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }