{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5f911b5c-ba43-43dc-b0f9-528c4197fce4", "symbol": "DXPE", "name": "DXP Enterprises Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 75.934, "architecture_energy": 51.276, "architecture_maturity": 34.0, "architecture_confidence": 84.652, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.74, "rotation_up": 60.39, "upward_expansion": 77.92, "deceleration": 55.51, "rotation_down": 15.68, "downward_expansion": 6.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 173.017333, 169.079818, 163.812381, 158.834645 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 192.36, "trend_reference": 151.884, "distance_from_trend": 0.266493, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 85.037885, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.262051, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 25.307981, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.285743, "excess_performance": 0.098289, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.266493, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.163835, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.262051, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.165772, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.25308, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.142493, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.285743, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.202846, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 929415, "relative_activity": 1.09841, "balance": 1.202846, "dry_up": 0.77818, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.093726, "annualized_volatility": 0.440987, "from_high_reference": -0.075192, "from_low_reference": 1.28891 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 151.884, "fair_value_reference": 85.037885, "structural_low": 125.23, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": -0.017661, "positive_rate": 0.464286, "directional_follow_through": 0.464286, "median_excess_return": -0.02198, "regime_survival": 0.607143, "best_return": 0.181914, "worst_return": -0.219982, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.036854, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.384615, "median_excess_return": -0.086832, "regime_survival": 0.307692, "best_return": 0.405485, "worst_return": -0.228799, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.191421, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.046809, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.51824, "worst_return": -0.198053, "sufficient": true }, { 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152.411849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 167.98, "volume": 502721, "typical_volume": 832609.0, "trend": 145.861, "fair_value": 82.409551, "relative_strength": 15.436959, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.843628, "energy": 31.834499, "activity_lines": [ 164.31, 162.495818, 158.750762, 153.96043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 168.94, "volume": 533150, "typical_volume": 834910.25, "trend": 147.632667, "fair_value": 83.248974, "relative_strength": 17.384505, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.937689, "energy": 32.311296, "activity_lines": [ 165.582667, 164.339091, 160.221714, 155.449398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 157.02, "volume": 668529, "typical_volume": 845701.0, "trend": 149.276, "fair_value": 84.017885, "relative_strength": 8.220294, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.648751, "energy": 22.660953, "activity_lines": [ 163.198667, 163.613273, 160.397429, 156.055032 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 192.36, "volume": 929415, "typical_volume": 846145.6, "trend": 151.884, "fair_value": 85.037885, "relative_strength": 25.307981, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.934109, "energy": 51.275916, "activity_lines": [ 173.017333, 169.079818, 163.812381, 158.834645 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }