{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5f92f612-43fa-4d21-997f-1785fc184163", "symbol": "C1MI34", "name": "Cummins Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 32.42, "architecture_energy": 20.654, "architecture_maturity": 66.72, "architecture_confidence": 91.319, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.07, "rotation_up": 20.22, "upward_expansion": 53.1, "deceleration": 93.99, "rotation_down": 29.55, "downward_expansion": 19.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 830.319332, 847.56636, 829.251281, 802.901335 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 817.559998, "trend_reference": 763.004382, "distance_from_trend": 0.071501, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 485.894385, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.682588, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 18.033734, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.057534, "excess_performance": 0.114582, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.071501, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.147214, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.682588, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.134315, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.180337, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.162297, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.057534, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.786414, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 41, "relative_activity": 0.279292, "balance": 0.786414, "dry_up": 0.856608, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.072727, "annualized_volatility": 0.439077, "from_high_reference": -0.127973, "from_low_reference": 0.58696 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 763.004382, "fair_value_reference": 485.894385, "structural_low": 678.264404, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.003448, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.002307, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.268031, "worst_return": -0.137823, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.020059, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.002264, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.280621, "worst_return": -0.189508, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.143921, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.065741, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.544625, "worst_return": -0.017838, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.23918, "energy": 51.229405, "activity_lines": [ 869.361995, 867.377971, 818.195694, 787.633805 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 848.130005, "volume": 4, "typical_volume": 132.7, "trend": 746.384757, "fair_value": 479.153253, "relative_strength": 22.345619, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.087324, "energy": 37.235823, "activity_lines": [ 858.679334, 864.667452, 824.515559, 794.809293 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 808.799988, "volume": 444, "typical_volume": 144.75, "trend": 754.54857, "fair_value": 482.459139, "relative_strength": 13.686719, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.235356, "energy": 25.578442, "activity_lines": [ 840.413997, 855.263632, 826.665955, 798.836082 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 817.559998, "volume": 41, "typical_volume": 146.8, "trend": 763.004382, "fair_value": 485.894385, "relative_strength": 18.033734, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.419798, "energy": 20.65436, "activity_lines": [ 830.319332, 847.56636, 829.251281, 802.901335 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }