{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5f989798-6b0d-453d-9d58-c86814c6c73a",
    "symbol": "ALTA",
    "name": "Altarea SCA",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -39.857,
    "architecture_energy": 26.879,
    "architecture_maturity": 67.024,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.541,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 31.97,
        "rotation_up": 27.4,
        "upward_expansion": 20.54,
        "deceleration": 46.13,
        "rotation_down": 30.45,
        "downward_expansion": 59.21
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        99.473333,
        98.826827,
        99.573388,
        102.626026
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 100.400002,
    "trend_reference": 106.821636,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.060115,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 91.336416,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.099233,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -11.196369,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.154882,
    "excess_performance": -0.208194,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.060115,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.020486,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.099233,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.019816,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.111964,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.050408,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.154882,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.626208,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 26113,
      "relative_activity": 0.756165,
      "balance": 1.626208,
      "dry_up": 0.811648,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.037236,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.257746,
      "from_high_reference": -0.235921,
      "from_low_reference": 0.068857
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 106.821636,
      "fair_value_reference": 91.336416,
      "structural_low": 93.932076,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 29,
        "median_return": -0.004225,
        "positive_rate": 0.37931,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.586207,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008965,
        "regime_survival": 0.862069,
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        "worst_return": -0.221277,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
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        "regime_survival": 0.8,
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        "worst_return": -0.212476,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.117235,
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        "worst_return": -0.20078,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "sufficient": false
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 49900.6,
        "trend": 109.090567,
        "fair_value": 90.324079,
        "relative_strength": -4.023284,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
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        "energy": 40.559092,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 47886,
        "typical_volume": 48238.0,
        "trend": 109.202013,
        "fair_value": 90.383355,
        "relative_strength": -6.155586,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 49326.75,
        "trend": 109.083523,
        "fair_value": 90.428034,
        "relative_strength": -7.822066,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 51097.5,
        "trend": 109.011825,
        "fair_value": 90.475976,
        "relative_strength": -7.45838,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 52958.3,
        "trend": 109.055787,
        "fair_value": 90.516168,
        "relative_strength": -7.870537,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 51613.65,
        "trend": 108.998303,
        "fair_value": 90.529124,
        "relative_strength": -10.925432,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
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        "energy": 72.256309,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 50423.15,
        "trend": 108.898303,
        "fair_value": 90.571863,
        "relative_strength": -12.216463,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 48034.15,
        "trend": 108.55497,
        "fair_value": 90.714565,
        "relative_strength": -9.967869,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "energy": 67.685489,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 5738,
        "typical_volume": 45371.8,
        "trend": 108.428303,
        "fair_value": 90.782907,
        "relative_strength": -11.416041,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 54.807442,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 96.900002,
        "volume": 44079,
        "typical_volume": 45261.9,
        "trend": 108.171636,
        "fair_value": 90.836685,
        "relative_strength": -11.387357,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.975192,
        "energy": 53.926296,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 96.900002,
        "volume": 28673,
        "typical_volume": 42840.1,
        "trend": 107.808303,
        "fair_value": 90.893774,
        "relative_strength": -11.252594,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.526157,
        "energy": 49.133079,
        "activity_lines": [
          97.680002,
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          100.463613,
          104.089569
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 98.199997,
        "volume": 34142,
        "typical_volume": 42157.3,
        "trend": 107.468303,
        "fair_value": 90.970234,
        "relative_strength": -10.248114,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.528531,
        "energy": 47.21701,
        "activity_lines": [
          97.78,
          97.896605,
          99.927189,
          103.469678
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 101.199997,
        "volume": 23188,
        "typical_volume": 40827.95,
        "trend": 107.208303,
        "fair_value": 91.163064,
        "relative_strength": -8.7312,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -44.353503,
        "energy": 35.30237,
        "activity_lines": [
          98.819999,
          98.446724,
          99.756479,
          103.065272
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 100.400002,
        "volume": 26113,
        "typical_volume": 34533.45,
        "trend": 106.821636,
        "fair_value": 91.336416,
        "relative_strength": -11.196369,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -39.857424,
        "energy": 26.878567,
        "activity_lines": [
          99.473333,
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          102.626026
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}