{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5f9a4f24-7991-4b59-b199-1c6ef8a5b9ba", "symbol": "NSB", "name": "NeuroScientific Biopharmaceuticals Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -69.74, "architecture_energy": 63.087, "architecture_maturity": 74.84, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.92, "rotation_up": 26.07, "upward_expansion": 11.58, "deceleration": 49.53, "rotation_down": 56.83, "downward_expansion": 84.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.061133, 0.0628, 0.073848, 0.081637 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.059, "trend_reference": 0.0945, "distance_from_trend": -0.375661, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.075497, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.21851, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -50.76015, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.546154, "excess_performance": -0.60986, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.375661, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.147112, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.21851, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.51274, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.507602, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.30185, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.546154, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.180921, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 751907, "relative_activity": 0.662804, "balance": 0.180921, "dry_up": 0.679074, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.163625, "annualized_volatility": 0.794048, "from_high_reference": -0.705, "from_low_reference": 0.053571 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.0945, "fair_value_reference": 0.075497, "structural_low": 0.056, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 38, "median_return": -0.028158, "positive_rate": 0.342105, "directional_follow_through": 0.605263, "median_excess_return": -0.045594, "regime_survival": 0.868421, "best_return": 1.328767, "worst_return": -0.615385, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": 0.016992, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.447368, "worst_return": -0.638298, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.213115, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.214818, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 4.789474, "worst_return": -0.582979, "sufficient": true }, { 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.162269, "energy": 85.50555, "activity_lines": [ 0.0644, 0.072164, 0.083519, 0.091224 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.061, "volume": 1300229, "typical_volume": 1238037.2, "trend": 0.099033, "fair_value": 0.07608, "relative_strength": -50.504294, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.009532, "energy": 86.889166, "activity_lines": [ 0.063133, 0.068782, 0.080805, 0.088675 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.065, "volume": 694209, "typical_volume": 1227788.15, "trend": 0.0977, "fair_value": 0.075862, "relative_strength": -45.77411, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.860158, "energy": 75.368184, "activity_lines": [ 0.063733, 0.066836, 0.078681, 0.08648 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.06, "volume": 335112, "typical_volume": 1172924.4, "trend": 0.096367, "fair_value": 0.075676, "relative_strength": -49.509721, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.62098, "energy": 64.25493, "activity_lines": [ 0.062467, 0.0646, 0.076233, 0.084047 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.059, "volume": 751907, "typical_volume": 1134434.25, "trend": 0.0945, "fair_value": 0.075497, "relative_strength": -50.76015, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.739924, "energy": 63.086919, "activity_lines": [ 0.061133, 0.0628, 0.073848, 0.081637 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }