{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5fa68e82-8a9e-49cd-940e-84bd76c8f400", "symbol": "VWCG", "name": "Vanguard FTSE Developed Europe UCITS ETF EUR Accumulation", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 90.42, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 84.059, "architecture_energy": 78.406, "architecture_maturity": 38.633, "architecture_confidence": 79.16, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.41, "rotation_up": 68.83, "upward_expansion": 91.84, "deceleration": 47.05, "rotation_down": 21.07, "downward_expansion": 16.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 60.495334, 60.06491, 58.96581, 58.062645 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 61.450001, "trend_reference": 57.123, "distance_from_trend": 0.075749, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 47.905994, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.282721, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.779276, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.094, "excess_performance": -0.076891, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.075749, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040694, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.282721, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.064769, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.037793, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016672, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.094, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.371629, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 69231, "relative_activity": 1.290239, "balance": 1.371629, "dry_up": 1.752155, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.018664, "annualized_volatility": 0.141548, "from_high_reference": -0.004375, "from_low_reference": 0.249746 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 57.123, "fair_value_reference": 47.905994, "structural_low": 51.02, "invalidation": "A 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"typical_volume": 54738.2, "trend": 56.924, "fair_value": 47.763109, "relative_strength": -2.724198, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.140459, "energy": 61.982132, "activity_lines": [ 60.024, 59.665818, 58.581381, 57.770645 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 61.450001, "volume": 69231, "typical_volume": 53657.5, "trend": 57.123, "fair_value": 47.905994, "relative_strength": -3.779276, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.058704, "energy": 78.405675, "activity_lines": [ 60.495334, 60.06491, 58.96581, 58.062645 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }