{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5fba27fa-4940-41b1-bc29-b1a2ff5f5d57",
    "symbol": "BSTZ",
    "name": "BlackRock Science and Technology Trust II",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 47.668,
    "architecture_energy": 26.641,
    "architecture_maturity": 59.488,
    "architecture_confidence": 95.151,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 41.76,
        "rotation_up": 30.78,
        "upward_expansion": 55.25,
        "deceleration": 90.48,
        "rotation_down": 26.07,
        "downward_expansion": 18.92
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        28.975753,
        29.031993,
        28.642747,
        27.309627
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 30.08,
    "trend_reference": 25.566157,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.176555,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 18.036274,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.66775,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 14.756434,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.377104,
    "excess_performance": 0.251479,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.176555,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.116271,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.66775,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.010535,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.147564,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.039766,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.377104,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.710418,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 957943,
      "relative_activity": 0.891372,
      "balance": 1.710418,
      "dry_up": 0.922579,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.079768,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.29706,
      "from_high_reference": -0.051191,
      "from_low_reference": 0.600752
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 25.566157,
      "fair_value_reference": 18.036274,
      "structural_low": 20.204816,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.013164,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001038,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.10614,
        "worst_return": -0.099088,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.113377,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.055702,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.2616,
        "worst_return": 0.008878,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.220371,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.081868,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.445797,
        "worst_return": 0.139777,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.232994,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004064,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.246343,
        "worst_return": 0.219645,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.043209,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.003542,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.091347,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.08613,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.012384,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.107031,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": 0.028641,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": -0.069859,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 1088449.9,
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        "relative_strength": 18.28783,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 1115958.25,
        "trend": 24.670539,
        "fair_value": 17.642514,
        "relative_strength": 16.411194,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.551356,
        "energy": 40.542164,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 27.57,
        "volume": 1093895,
        "typical_volume": 1133410.5,
        "trend": 24.861355,
        "fair_value": 17.733431,
        "relative_strength": 10.84512,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.204495,
        "energy": 26.992176,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.682446,
          29.090745,
          27.955772,
          26.538033
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 28.69,
        "volume": 796838,
        "typical_volume": 1112784.25,
        "trend": 25.085228,
        "fair_value": 17.831201,
        "relative_strength": 15.48282,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.65645,
        "energy": 25.330648,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.558957,
          29.013591,
          28.186218,
          26.785042
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 28.43,
        "volume": 1117246,
        "typical_volume": 1063497.75,
        "trend": 25.293707,
        "fair_value": 17.927631,
        "relative_strength": 12.76053,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.950897,
        "energy": 21.013597,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.497288,
          28.871669,
          28.353586,
          27.000834
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 30.08,
        "volume": 957943,
        "typical_volume": 1074683.9,
        "trend": 25.566157,
        "fair_value": 18.036274,
        "relative_strength": 14.756434,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.667967,
        "energy": 26.641123,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.975753,
          29.031993,
          28.642747,
          27.309627
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}