{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5fbafac7-668b-4745-994d-11283256977c", "symbol": "QUBT", "name": "Quantum Computing\u00a0Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -24.774, "architecture_energy": 29.728, "architecture_maturity": 4.932, "architecture_confidence": 63.234, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.45, "rotation_up": 19.67, "upward_expansion": 11.95, "deceleration": 49.66, "rotation_down": 54.9, "downward_expansion": 51.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.323333, 8.632091, 9.222214, 9.053409 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 9.18, "trend_reference": 9.074333, "distance_from_trend": 0.011645, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.015184, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.30859, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -31.604133, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.026511, "excess_performance": -0.213965, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.011645, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.08252, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.30859, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.209537, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.316041, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.087506, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.026511, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.0546, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 44223498, "relative_activity": 0.544111, "balance": 1.0546, "dry_up": 0.542344, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.223395, "annualized_volatility": 0.742747, "from_high_reference": -0.644737, "from_low_reference": 0.485437 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.074333, "fair_value_reference": 7.015184, "structural_low": 6.18, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.019417, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.014712, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.067647, "worst_return": -0.0736, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.22549, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.258572, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.150485, "worst_return": -0.6144, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.38835, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.542475, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.206863, "worst_return": -0.7552, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 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6.920056, "relative_strength": -43.296657, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.576573, "energy": 38.120749, "activity_lines": [ 8.107333, 8.942273, 9.291833, 9.126634 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.1, "volume": 46556131, "typical_volume": 81364705.95, "trend": 9.159, "fair_value": 6.96403, "relative_strength": -37.578157, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.684708, "energy": 39.280952, "activity_lines": [ 7.999333, 8.650727, 9.2075, 9.052054 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.18, "volume": 44223498, "typical_volume": 81276544.8, "trend": 9.074333, "fair_value": 7.015184, "relative_strength": -31.604133, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.773587, "energy": 29.728239, "activity_lines": [ 8.323333, 8.632091, 9.222214, 9.053409 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }