{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5fbddd4a-bf20-4710-a0b5-cbbf2acbb824",
    "symbol": "603150",
    "name": "Anhui Higasket Plastics Co.,Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 79.37,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -26.477,
    "architecture_energy": 55.677,
    "architecture_maturity": 17.38,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.863,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 32.69,
        "rotation_up": 14.02,
        "upward_expansion": 25.08,
        "deceleration": 52.95,
        "rotation_down": 68.53,
        "downward_expansion": 50.08
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        50.382667,
        57.727912,
        62.030697,
        61.032726
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 51.52,
    "trend_reference": 58.363404,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.117255,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 35.379394,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.456215,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 4.53728,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.104868,
    "excess_performance": 0.148072,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.117255,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.173752,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.456215,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.620515,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045373,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.423393,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.104868,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.553911,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7717293,
      "relative_activity": 0.817348,
      "balance": 0.553911,
      "dry_up": 0.963312,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.164762,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.698923,
      "from_high_reference": -0.361857,
      "from_low_reference": 0.5306
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 58.363404,
      "fair_value_reference": 35.379394,
      "structural_low": 43.349998,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.116045,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.050191,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.116045,
        "worst_return": 0.116045,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.188521,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.087986,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.188521,
        "worst_return": 0.188521,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.037285,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.032565,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.037285,
        "worst_return": 0.037285,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.396313,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.22854,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.396313,
        "worst_return": 0.396313,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-06-28",
        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.077875,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-11-01",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.061195,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.12184,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.265754,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.126313,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.259323,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.070549,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.077788,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.087051,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.160616,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": 0.023933,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": 0.115601,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "fair_value": 34.961031,
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        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 9964976.75,
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        "fair_value": 35.101571,
        "relative_strength": 2.003534,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -36.476034,
        "energy": 40.213255,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 9553907.2,
        "trend": 57.91207,
        "fair_value": 35.219541,
        "relative_strength": -2.016855,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -37.661823,
        "energy": 47.102422,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 51.52,
        "volume": 7717293,
        "typical_volume": 9441866.55,
        "trend": 58.363404,
        "fair_value": 35.379394,
        "relative_strength": 4.53728,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -26.477115,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}