{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5fdb84bc-e7a0-4867-a50a-902e0d7e81d9",
    "symbol": "USPA",
    "name": "Franklin S&P 500 Paris Aligned Climate UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "AMS",
    "country": "NL",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AEX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 73.38,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 73.765,
    "architecture_energy": 90.445,
    "architecture_maturity": 51.965,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.277,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.52,
        "rotation_up": 63.41,
        "upward_expansion": 100.0,
        "deceleration": 39.0,
        "rotation_down": 30.0,
        "downward_expansion": 22.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        53.13,
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        52.276381,
        51.242279
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 53.18,
    "trend_reference": 50.072333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.062064,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 43.779102,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.214735,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.427298,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.102862,
    "excess_performance": -0.013801,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062064,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.02985,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.214735,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016475,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.034273,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.039581,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.102862,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.0,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 5.0,
      "dry_up": 0.189068,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.005931,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.105337,
      "from_high_reference": -0.00913,
      "from_low_reference": 0.183883
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 50.072333,
      "fair_value_reference": 43.779102,
      "structural_low": 46.619999,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": 0.011452,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000799,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.069683,
        "worst_return": -0.093028,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.04333,
        "positive_rate": 0.777778,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.777778,
        "median_excess_return": 0.027962,
        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
        "best_return": 0.141444,
        "worst_return": -0.085822,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.081836,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.016895,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.067853,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.197748,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "best_return": 0.296213,
        "worst_return": 0.099284,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "end": "2025-06-20",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "New",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "volume": 2100,
        "typical_volume": 190.05,
        "trend": 48.311,
        "fair_value": 42.094359,
        "relative_strength": 0.530791,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 51.612218,
        "energy": 63.809931,
        "activity_lines": [
          49.051999,
          48.391999,
          48.127476,
          48.199849
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 50.439999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 190.05,
        "trend": 48.394666,
        "fair_value": 42.217948,
        "relative_strength": 1.052881,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 60.434084,
        "energy": 82.389511,
        "activity_lines": [
          49.695332,
          48.82509,
          48.342571,
          48.337204
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 51.990002,
        "volume": 2411,
        "typical_volume": 310.6,
        "trend": 48.506667,
        "fair_value": 42.348461,
        "relative_strength": 0.660451,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 95.25504,
        "energy": 98.204908,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.659333,
          49.496182,
          48.697666,
          48.569161
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 52.919998,
        "volume": 1,
        "typical_volume": 310.65,
        "trend": 48.621,
        "fair_value": 42.481282,
        "relative_strength": 3.346071,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 97.848393,
        "energy": 99.208496,
        "activity_lines": [
          51.581333,
          50.254727,
          49.126333,
          48.853892
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 53.009998,
        "volume": 210,
        "typical_volume": 316.7,
        "trend": 48.742333,
        "fair_value": 42.614423,
        "relative_strength": 2.772607,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 92.64842,
        "energy": 97.411373,
        "activity_lines": [
          52.267999,
          50.93109,
          49.544142,
          49.137053
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 52.720001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 306.0,
        "trend": 48.875666,
        "fair_value": 42.743013,
        "relative_strength": -1.637739,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.358829,
        "energy": 91.36403,
        "activity_lines": [
          52.588,
          51.454545,
          49.917095,
          49.393677
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 52.720001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 282.5,
        "trend": 49.034333,
        "fair_value": 42.87423,
        "relative_strength": -1.398632,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.649922,
        "energy": 88.986352,
        "activity_lines": [
          52.756,
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          50.269238,
          49.641699
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 52.93,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 282.5,
        "trend": 49.2,
        "fair_value": 43.003333,
        "relative_strength": 0.521061,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.098511,
        "energy": 88.212394,
        "activity_lines": [
          52.842,
          52.254909,
          50.619952,
          49.893032
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 52.93,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 282.5,
        "trend": 49.365666,
        "fair_value": 43.134551,
        "relative_strength": -1.597229,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.002809,
        "energy": 69.345157,
        "activity_lines": [
          52.865334,
          52.513636,
          50.948238,
          50.133677
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 52.93,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 272.45,
        "trend": 49.502,
        "fair_value": 43.265769,
        "relative_strength": -1.716283,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.842268,
        "energy": 68.407659,
        "activity_lines": [
          52.888,
          52.699818,
          51.254095,
          50.363634
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 52.93,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 267.15,
        "trend": 49.638333,
        "fair_value": 43.393654,
        "relative_strength": -2.383053,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.710225,
        "energy": 67.840438,
        "activity_lines": [
          52.916,
          52.813818,
          51.531047,
          50.584796
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 53.18,
        "volume": 202,
        "typical_volume": 267.2,
        "trend": 49.783,
        "fair_value": 43.519359,
        "relative_strength": -1.716826,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.421855,
        "energy": 81.519704,
        "activity_lines": [
          53.013333,
          52.928,
          51.804857,
          50.81329
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 53.18,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 267.1,
        "trend": 49.927667,
        "fair_value": 43.648141,
        "relative_strength": -2.444017,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.286673,
        "energy": 84.534968,
        "activity_lines": [
          53.08,
          52.992364,
          52.054143,
          51.032451
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 53.18,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 267.1,
        "trend": 50.072333,
        "fair_value": 43.779102,
        "relative_strength": -3.427298,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.764668,
        "energy": 90.445022,
        "activity_lines": [
          53.13,
          53.035091,
          52.276381,
          51.242279
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}