{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5feafe66-589b-4a41-a63c-3af02f741ed4", "symbol": "002813", "name": "ShenZhen RoadRover Technology Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.568, "architecture_energy": 42.467, "architecture_maturity": 86.276, "architecture_confidence": 67.148, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.99, "rotation_up": 25.94, "upward_expansion": 17.88, "deceleration": 66.71, "rotation_down": 46.84, "downward_expansion": 70.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.876, 19.765636, 21.269, 22.544667 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 20.77, "trend_reference": 24.467333, "distance_from_trend": -0.151113, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 26.951731, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.229363, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.385957, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.257153, "excess_performance": -0.264553, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.151113, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.099262, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.229363, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.214358, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.21386, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.076415, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.257153, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.340975, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11632752, "relative_activity": 1.342477, "balance": 0.340975, "dry_up": 1.091208, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.098885, "annualized_volatility": 0.402986, "from_high_reference": -0.377585, "from_low_reference": 0.192308 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.467333, "fair_value_reference": 26.951731, "structural_low": 17.42, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.011111, "positive_rate": 0.48, "directional_follow_through": 0.52, "median_excess_return": -0.016684, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.246556, "worst_return": -0.179559, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.082896, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.020018, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.347161, "worst_return": -0.331162, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.094867, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.052918, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.438582, "worst_return": -0.12153, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"volume": 8844531, "typical_volume": 8201523.65, "trend": 25.048333, "fair_value": 27.126218, "relative_strength": -28.306692, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.668832, "energy": 66.223346, "activity_lines": [ 18.866667, 19.646727, 21.683809, 23.086021 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.629999, "volume": 9838400, "typical_volume": 8384948.65, "trend": 24.742667, "fair_value": 27.030385, "relative_strength": -18.299835, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.503666, "energy": 56.143687, "activity_lines": [ 19.405333, 19.654182, 21.456143, 22.800968 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.77, "volume": 11632752, "typical_volume": 8665140.25, "trend": 24.467333, "fair_value": 26.951731, "relative_strength": -21.385957, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.56811, "energy": 42.466592, "activity_lines": [ 19.876, 19.765636, 21.269, 22.544667 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }