{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5fec5659-22dd-4c3d-a13b-13f18c64d657",
    "symbol": "9535",
    "name": "Ladun Investment Company",
    "exchange": "SAU",
    "country": "SA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^TASI.SR",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 31.449,
    "architecture_energy": 23.505,
    "architecture_maturity": 59.488,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.675,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 48.7,
        "rotation_up": 25.58,
        "upward_expansion": 56.92,
        "deceleration": 88.19,
        "rotation_down": 32.96,
        "downward_expansion": 18.26
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        2.636182,
        2.571476,
        2.492043
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 2.54,
    "trend_reference": 2.406333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.055548,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 3.644145,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.302992,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.855536,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.104348,
    "excess_performance": 0.136177,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055548,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.010923,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.302992,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05597,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.028555,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.18212,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.104348,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.013606,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 169570,
      "relative_activity": 0.274723,
      "balance": 2.013606,
      "dry_up": 0.698241,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.095094,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.476118,
      "from_high_reference": -0.203762,
      "from_low_reference": 0.282828
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.406333,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.644145,
      "structural_low": 1.98,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.028296,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.066539,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.189744,
        "worst_return": -0.051724,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.025023,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.045713,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.052811,
        "worst_return": -0.102857,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.356275,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.311687,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.271429,
        "worst_return": -0.441121,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.240992,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.183853,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.207699,
        "worst_return": -0.274286,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "start": "2024-05-17",
        "end": "2024-06-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.067873,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-07-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.207273,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-07-12",
        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.149242,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.041899,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.069149,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.026012,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.048571,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.138365,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.178378,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": true
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 23.924692,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 541848.8,
        "trend": 2.380333,
        "fair_value": 3.602827,
        "relative_strength": -10.063235,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 28.867654,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 2.5,
        "volume": 475667,
        "typical_volume": 521717.5,
        "trend": 2.380333,
        "fair_value": 3.607092,
        "relative_strength": -5.02108,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 22.457985,
        "energy": 36.441971,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 952523,
        "typical_volume": 555343.55,
        "trend": 2.379333,
        "fair_value": 3.611623,
        "relative_strength": -3.828014,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 582336.85,
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        "relative_strength": 6.871829,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 50.672226,
        "energy": 53.996443,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 635819.45,
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        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.713027,
        "energy": 70.940298,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": 12.586347,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 78.307498,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 259226,
        "typical_volume": 633519.75,
        "trend": 2.406667,
        "fair_value": 3.639955,
        "relative_strength": 14.910672,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.309812,
        "energy": 79.039546,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.812667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 2.49,
        "volume": 498812,
        "typical_volume": 625008.15,
        "trend": 2.404667,
        "fair_value": 3.644734,
        "relative_strength": 0.883874,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.296353,
        "energy": 55.155608,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.722,
          2.670364,
          2.541143,
          2.462194
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.6,
        "volume": 856380,
        "typical_volume": 629970.5,
        "trend": 2.407333,
        "fair_value": 3.647328,
        "relative_strength": 4.95261,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.289635,
        "energy": 35.803753,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.67,
          2.667818,
          2.557333,
          2.474796
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.54,
        "volume": 199170,
        "typical_volume": 619934.65,
        "trend": 2.405333,
        "fair_value": 3.648155,
        "relative_strength": 4.947651,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.750516,
        "energy": 20.661159,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.611333,
          2.653273,
          2.565381,
          2.483355
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.54,
        "volume": 169570,
        "typical_volume": 617240.75,
        "trend": 2.406333,
        "fair_value": 3.644145,
        "relative_strength": 2.855536,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.449401,
        "energy": 23.505365,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.568,
          2.636182,
          2.571476,
          2.492043
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}